Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 241708 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1108 AM CST WED DEC 24 2014

.UPDATE...
PRECIP ENDED EARLIER THIS MORNING AND SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR FROM
WEST TO EAST. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SOME THIS AFTERNOON.
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS PRETTY GOOD JUST MADE SOME MINOR TWEAKS.
UPDATES OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 AM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...MVFR CEILINGS WILL SCATTER/CLEAR THROUGH THE MORNING
WITH MAINLY CLEAR CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES BY 17-19Z. NORTHWEST
WIND WILL BECOME WEST AND SOUTHWEST BY LATE AFTERNOON...THEN
INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH BETWEEN 6-12Z. SNOW FLURRIES IN CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE BY 13Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 AM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
MOST OF THE MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION EARLY THIS MORNING HAS BEEN
ALONG AND EAST OF I-35. ANY RAIN AND PERHAPS SNOW WILL BE CONFINED
TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE
THROUGH THE MORNING AND MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE SUNNY BY LATE
MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TONIGHT...SO TEMPERATURES WILL DROP RATHER
QUICKLY. INCREASING WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
STEADY.

CHRISTMAS DAY WILL BE WARM...BUT A STRONG SOUTH WIND WILL ADD A
SLIGHT CHILL. LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN
OKLAHOMA WILL INCREASE FIRE DANGER. ANY FIRES THAT START WILL BE
DIFFICULT TO CONTAIN...AS FREQUENT WIND GUST OVER 40 MPH ARE
ANTICIPATED.

COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED IN SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY
NIGHT ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-44. NORTH AND WEST OF I-44...LIGHT SNOW
MAY DEVELOP IN AN ELEVATED FRONTAL ZONE AND ENTRANCE REGION OF A
STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET. THE GFS IS DRIER AND HAS THE FRONTAL ZONE
FARTHER SOUTH. OTHER MODELS MAY TREND DRIER IN SUBSEQUENT RUNS.
FOR NOW...WILL LEAVE CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST MOST AREAS FROM
LATE FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. WESTERN OKLAHOMA HAS THE BEST
CHANCE OF RECEIVING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL DURING THIS TIME.

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH MUCH COLDER AIR
ARRIVING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  32  59  43 /  10   0   0   0
HOBART OK         47  29  60  38 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  48  31  66  42 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           45  25  63  32 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     43  29  58  42 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         47  29  58  41 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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