Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 172044
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
244 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
An upper-level low will drift east across Oklahoma tonight,
while surface flow continues from the south. This low-level moist
flow will likely result in overcast skies, patches of drizzle, and
some fog early Saturday over most of central and southern
Oklahoma, and north Texas. Some clearing should occur in the
afternoon in the west, while the rest of Oklahoma remains mainly
cloudy.

Another storm system will approach the southern Plains by Sunday,
bringing much higher chances of measurable rainfall. Modest
instability should be adequate to support scattered thunderstorms
amid the widespread showers. There may be locally heavy rainfall,
and marginally severe storms Sunday night. The heaviest rainfall,
overall, should be over southeast Okalhoma.

The storm system then moves quickly off to the east, drying out
the southern Plains. There will be minimal effects on temperature,
as there not a significantly colder airmass following this
system.

Models continue to show a tightly-wound surface low pressure
system over the central Plains on Thursday. Assuming this happens
as advertised, that would result in a warm, breezy, and dry day
across Okalhoma and north Texas. Given that it will be late
February, those conditions suggest a substantial risk of
difficult-to-control grass fires.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  49  67  50  71 /   0  10   0  40
Hobart OK         43  69  48  69 /   0  10   0  50
Wichita Falls TX  47  71  50  72 /   0   0   0  50
Gage OK           38  73  45  69 /   0   0   0  30
Ponca City OK     47  68  50  73 /   0  10  10  20
Durant OK         52  69  54  74 /  20  20   0  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

10/23



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