Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 260348 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
948 PM CST WED FEB 25 2015

.UPDATE...
INCREASED POPS FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS
WESTERN N TX. PLEASE SEE THE DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT IS NOW NEARING THE I44 CORRIDOR LATE THIS EVENING.
STILL ANTICIPATE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS TO DEVELOP BEHIND IT EARLY
TOMORROW MORNING...ESPECIALLY AROUND/AFTER 09Z. TO THE
NORTHWEST...WATER VAPOR...RADAR AND SFC OBS INDICATE MID LEVEL
ASCENT IS INCREASING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TRAVERSING NM. BASED ON LATEST DATA FROM MOST NWP MODELS...MID
LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING WILL LIKELY BE MAXIMIZED AROUND 12Z
ALONG OUR SJT CWA BORDER NEAR ARCHER...BAYLOR AND KNOX COUNTIES.
CONSIDERING THIS...AND MOISTURE PROFILES...POPS HAVE BEEN
INCREASED TO LIKELY AROUND SUNRISE ACROSS THIS REGION. A WINTER
WX ADVISORY WAS CONSIDERED FOR EARLY TOMORROW AM FOR SLEET AND
SNOW...BUT BASED ON QPF AMOUNTS IT APPEARS ANY OF THE PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED TX COUNTIES SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW THE 1 INCH
CRITERIA. HOWEVER...THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS IT
APPEARS THE MODELS MAY BE SLIGHTLY TOO FAR SOUTH WITH THEIR QPF
OUTPUT. ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE ELEVATED...COULD
BECOME SLICK AS TEMPS DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S.

BARNES

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  55  22  31  15 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         60  24  32  14 /  10   0  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  27  36  18 /  20  20  20  10
GAGE OK           59  19  26  10 /  10  10   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     57  20  29  10 /   0  10   0  10
DURANT OK         45  26  34  20 / 100   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THURSDAY FOR OKZ004>025-027-033>038-
     044.

TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THURSDAY FOR TXZ083>086.

&&

$$

03/03


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