000
FXUS64 KOUN 141042
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
540 AM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017

.AVIATION...
Area of showers and thunderstorms is expected to be east of most
sites by beginning of forecast. Will keep a tempo for possibility at
OKC/OUN for a couple of hours. Otherwise, mainly VFR conditions
expected today into tonight. Could see scattered activity redevelop
overnight with best chance at PNC where will have a mention.

30

$$

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 AM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017/

.DISCUSSION...
Complex of storms moving across southern portions of the area will
continue to impact much of the southern half of Oklahoma into
north Texas through the first part of the day today.

Developing llj along with modest waa and some hint of minor wave
in mid-levels across the area may result in overnight showers and
thunderstorms Monday night. Highest probability looks to be along
and east of I-35, especially from OKC north toward the KS border.

Overall, a dry day expected Tuesday with breezy south winds and
warmer temperatures as southwest flow develops across
central/southern Plains. Some minor disturbances may again result
in scattered showers/thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday.

A stronger wave moves through the central and northern Plains
Wednesday, which will drive a surface front south. This front will
be the focus for more organized convection Wednesday night. Best
chances look to be across northern half of Oklahoma. Sufficient
instability and shear may allow for the development of a few
strong to severe storms with this activity.

This boundary then sticks around through the end of the week and
will continue to be primary focus for additional convective
development.

Period remains active into next weekend as another strong wave
moves through the northern plains into upper midwest, again
driving another cold front south into the area with associated
rain chances.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  84  72  91  75 /  60  30  20  30
Hobart OK         90  72  93  74 /  40  30  20  30
Wichita Falls TX  93  76  94  76 /  40  30  20  30
Gage OK           88  69  92  71 /  30  30  20  30
Ponca City OK     87  71  91  76 /  30  40  20  30
Durant OK         88  76  91  75 /  60  20  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/30