000
FXUS64 KOUN 101741
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1241 PM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

.AVIATION...
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST UNTIL A COLD FRONT BEGINS
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTY NORTHWEST/NORTH
WINDS WILL BE LIKELY BEHIND THE FRONT... ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST
ARE EXPECTED AFTER 18Z. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES OVERNIGHT AND
BRINGS AT LEAST THE CHANCE FOR FOG/STRATUS TO KLAW AND KSPS
TUESDAY MORNING. FOR RIGHT NOW... WILL BRING A SLIGHT REDUCTION IN
VSBY AND SCT LOW CLOUDS... BUT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF IFR
CONDITIONS AT THESE SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014/

DISCUSSION...
INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY AND TUESDAY AND POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG POST FRONTAL WINDS TUESDAY WILL BE MAIN CONCERNS IN THE
SHORT TERM. MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY COMBINED WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY TO ELEVATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
WITH MARGINAL WIND SPEEDS WILL HOLD OFF ON FIRE WX HEADLINES ATTM.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ENTER NW OK BY MIDDAY AND PUSH INTO
SE OK BY EARLY EVENING. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND CAA WILL
RESULT IN VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. WIND ADVISORY
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT WITH PARTS OF NW
OK POSSIBLY APCHG HIGH WIND CRIT. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL AGAIN
BE ELEVATED TUESDAY AS VEERING LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT
CONTRIBUTES TO DRY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS. MAIN PORTION OF UPPER
TROUGH WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA AND WITH LIMITED MOISTURE
AVAILABLE WILL CONFINE LOW POPS TO NRN THIRD OF OK. WINDY AND MUCH
COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING DURING THE AFTERNOON. COOLING WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN THURSDAY.

ANOTHER WEAK FRONT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH ONLY MINOR COOLING.
PRECIP CHANCES RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY AS A STRONG UPPER
SYSTEM DROPS SEWD FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  51  79  36 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         76  44  81  34 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  79  49  85  36 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           79  42  65  32 /   0   0  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     77  47  78  36 /   0   0   0  20
DURANT OK         77  51  78  40 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/01