000
FXUS64 KOUN 101131
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
631 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2014

.AVIATION...
A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH FROM NORTHERN INTO
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. IT WILL AFFECT AREAS NEAR OKC AFTER 101300
THROUGH THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF OKC THIS AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 428 AM CDT THU JUL 10 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IN NORTHERN OK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS
SLOW MOVEMENT SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE MORNING...DISSIPATING
BEFORE NOON. RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVY AND ADVISORIES MAY BE
NECESSARY AT TIMES FOR MINOR FLOODING..MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 51.
THE REMNANTS OF THIS COMPLEX MAY PROVIDE WEAK, BUT SUFFICIENT
CONVERGENCE DURING THE AFTERNOON FOR THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY EAST
AND SOUTHEAST OF OKLAHOMA CITY. AFTER TODAY, THE STRONG UPPER
RIDGE WILL LIKELY KEEP THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES VERY LOW WHILE THE
HEAT INTENSIFIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WEEKEND DAYS WILL LIKELY
BRING THE HIGHEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR ACROSS MOST OF
OKLAHOMA. A SLIGHTLY LESS HUMID AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
OKLAHOMA SUNDAY. EARLY TUESDAY WILL SEE A FRONT APPROACH NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WITH GOOD RAIN CHANCES WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES TO THE
WEST. A LARGE UPPER LOW ACROSS ONTARIO WILL HAVE AN ASSOCIATED
MID-LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL PROVIDE OPPORTUNITY FOR SEVERAL EARLY
MORNING EPISODES OF RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS MID-WEEK. THE FRONT THAT
PASSES THROUGH WILL LOWER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES INTO THE 80S IN
MANY AREAS TUESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
MESOSCALE OUTFLOWS WILL GIVE OPPORTUNITY IN THE AFTERNOONS FOR
SOME RAINFALL. MOST OF THIS WOULD OCCUR IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST OK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  93  73  98  74 /  50   0   0   0
HOBART OK         98  73 100  74 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           97  71  99  73 /  10   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     88  74  98  73 /  80  10   0   0
DURANT OK         94  74  96  75 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/09/09