Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 172042
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
342 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE TRYING TO SLIP INTO OUR TX
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH
THE EVENING. AT LEAST LOW CHCS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THIS AREA
THROUGH TOMORROW AS A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROUNDS THE RIDGE
NEAR THE RED RIVER. TEMPS WILL REMAIN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE RAIN CHCS INCREASE LATE FRI AND EARLY
SATURDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF ODILE APPROACH THE WESTERN ZONES.

IN THE EXTENDED...BOTH GFS AND ECMWF ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ODILE...CURRENTLY ACROSS MEXICO AND MOVING INTO THE U.S.
SOUTHWEST...BRINGING IN A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS FOR THIS WEEKEND. THE SHORTWAVE...COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE...WILL RESULT IN INCREASING TSRA POPS FOR OUR
SATURDAY/SUNDAY PERIODS. LATEST QPF GUIDANCE SUGGEST HIGH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE
WESTERN ZONES. A SOMEWHAT WEAK COLD FRONT WILL FINALLY PUSH
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY, BRIEFLY BRINGING IN JUST
SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
RIDGING WILL BEGIN BUILDING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  69  89  69  86 /  10  20  10  10
HOBART OK         69  89  68  86 /  10  10  10  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  71  90  69  88 /  20  30  10  40
GAGE OK           65  90  66  86 /  10  10  10  40
PONCA CITY OK     67  89  69  87 /  20  20  10  10
DURANT OK         70  88  69  86 /  20  30  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/03


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