Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 270939
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
439 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
ESPECIALLY FROM DUNCAN TO LAWTON TO HOBART WHERE VISIBILITIES HAVE
BEEN AT 1/4 MILE. HAVE ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THIS AND
ADJACENT AREAS.

PRIMARY PRECIPITATION BAND HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA AND EXPECT
THE PRECIP IN KANSAS WILL LIKELY STAY NORTH OF THE AREA. COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF TEXAS WITH MOISTURE
ADVECTION RETURNING TO THE AREA LATE THURSDAY ABOVE THE FRONTAL
LAYER. THE SURFACE FRONT WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTH AS WELL. THIS WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE
WEATHER WITH THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY ABOVE THE FRONTAL SURFACE
THURSDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL
CONTINUE ON FRIDAY... HOWEVER THE DEGREE OF RISK WILL SOMEWHAT
DEPEND ON HOW FAR NORTH THE SURFACE BOUNDARY LIFTS. PRECIPITATION
MOVES OUT OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER WAVE MOVES TOWARD
THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK... ALTHOUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
DIFFER ON SPECIFICS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  50  77  57 /   0   0  10  60
HOBART OK         76  49  77  58 /   0   0  20  60
WICHITA FALLS TX  79  54  83  61 /   0   0  20  60
GAGE OK           72  43  72  53 /   0   0  10  60
PONCA CITY OK     73  46  74  53 /  10   0   0  50
DURANT OK         81  56  82  63 /  10   0  10  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR OKZ021>023-
     027>029-033>040-044-045.

TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ083-085-
     086.

&&

$$



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