Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 280454
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1154 PM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
EARLIER RA/TSRA HAS MOSTLY DISSIPATED OVER W OK. SHORT-RANGE
MODELS SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT BEFORE
SUNRISE IN W OK...BUT IT IS HARD TO SAY WHETHER THE CHAOTIC
DISTRIBUTION OF MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL ACTUALLY PRODUCE ANY
FURTHER RA TONIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY. IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT RA/TSRA
WILL BREAK OUT DURING THE DAY THURSDAY AHEAD OF A SUBSTANTIAL
STORM SYSTEM...AND GENERALLY SPREAD FROM W TO E. BY 06Z TOMORROW
NIGHT...RAIN CHANCES WILL REACH OUR EASTERN TAF SITES:
KPNC...KOKC...KOUN...AND RA WILL REMAIN LIKELY IN THE W.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 955 PM CDT WED AUG 27 2014/

UPDATE...
AREA OF RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A WEAKENING/DISSIPATION PHASE
THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA. ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OUT IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE EXPECTED TO STRUGGLE TO
MAKE WESTERN PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS OVERNIGHT. LOWER POPS FOR OVERNIGHT PERIOD LOOK FINE.

TEMPS WERE LOWERED A BIT ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA WHERE RAIN-COOLED AIR WAS ALREADY NEAR FORECAST LOWS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  94  71  89 /  10  30  50  50
HOBART OK         73  93  70  90 /  20  50  60  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  97  74  91 /  10  30  40  50
GAGE OK           70  88  66  88 / 100  60  60  40
PONCA CITY OK     72  94  71  87 /  10  30  50  50
DURANT OK         72  94  74  92 /  10  10  30  50

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/23/23



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