Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 041114
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
514 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS... CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE MOST AREAS TODAY.
RAIN WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN... SLEET... AND SNOW TODAY
ACROSS THE AREA. BLOWING SNOW COULD ALSO OCCUR IN SOME AREAS WHICH
WOULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES. PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM NORTHWEST
TO SOUTHEAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. CEILINGS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AT SOME SITES LATER TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 411 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
VISIBILITIES CONTINUE TO IMPROVE AHEAD OF THE FRONT SO WILL
CANCEL THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE FA EARLY THIS MORNING.
COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION
TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY CONTINUING TO FALL THROUGHOUT THE
DAY IN MANY PLACES. MEANWHILE... UPPER WAVE WILL APPROACH AND
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO
FREEZING RAIN... SLEET AND EVENTUALLY JUST SNOW AS SFC TEMPS DROP
BELOW FREEZING AND THE COLD AIRMASS DEEPENS. SOME BANDING COULD BE
POSSIBLE WITH FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING SO IN SHORT DISTANCES SOME
LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE HEAVIER AMOUNTS THAN OTHERS AND OTHER
LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE LOWER AMOUNTS... BUT GENERALLY ONE TO THREE
INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE SE HALF OF THE FA... WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
OF JUST A GLAZE TO UNDER TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
IF THE TRANSITION FROM FREEZING RAIN TO SLEET AND SNOW IS SLOWER
THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST THEN HIGHER ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT WINTER WX ADVISORY
CONFIGURATION BUT ADJUSTMENTS MAY NEED TO BE MADE LATER THIS
MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL END TONIGHT BUT ROADS WILL LIKELY
STILL BE SLICK IN SOME AREAS IN THE MORNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND REACHING SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
MODELS SHOW SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS MOVING NEAR/ACROSS THE
REGION DURING THIS TIME BUT THESE SYSTEMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  30  21  37  21 /  90  50  10  10
HOBART OK         30  18  36  20 /  80  40  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  37  21  36  19 /  90  60  10  10
GAGE OK           24  11  38  20 /  60  10  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     26  16  35  21 /  70  30  10  10
DURANT OK         44  23  37  21 / 100  90  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR OKZ019-
     020-022>048-050>052.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     OKZ004>018-021.

TX...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR
     TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

09/25/25



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