Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 220841
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
341 AM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Relatively cool and wet pattern returns to August.

A cold front is set to enter Oklahoma this afternoon, bringing
cooler temperatures and a round of showers and thunderstorms. Most
of the CAMS have convection starting along the I-40 corridor
during the afternoon, then progressing southward from there as the
front marches on. With PWATs of 2 inches or more and the
possibility of slow moving storms, due to poor upper support,
heavy rainfall will be a possibility. Showers and storms may
linger into Wednesday, mainly along the Red River. Localized flash
flooding will be a concern, but models are in disagreement as to
where the heaviest rainfall will occur.

A shortwave will make it`s way through on Friday, sparking
convection mainly across northwestern Oklahoma where some of the
higher moisture return will be. Chances continue and spread on
Saturday.

A lot of uncertainty exists after this point, due to the
possibility of a tropical system impacting the area. Right now,
most models keep this system just south and east of the CWA. For
now, left low POPs in Sunday and Monday.

Day

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  91  68  84  63 /  50  50  10   0
Hobart OK         92  69  84  66 /  50  50  30   0
Wichita Falls TX  96  73  86  68 /  20  50  40  20
Gage OK           87  63  85  61 /  40  20   0  10
Ponca City OK     89  61  83  60 /  30  20   0   0
Durant OK         95  73  86  69 /  20  50  40  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

03/14



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