Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 020504
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1204 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

HRRR GUIDANCE SUGGEST ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN
NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATER TONIGHT AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS.
THEREFORE...THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE IN VICINITY OF PNC.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THESE STORMS WILL MAKE IT TO OKC OR
OUN...SO LEFT THUNDERSTORMS OUT OF THESE SITES FOR NOW.

ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE NEAR ANY REMNANT BOUNDARY THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN OK ...BUT SPARSE
COVERAGE PREVENTS ANY MENTION IN THE TAFS.

MAHALE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 931 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

UPDATE...
ONLY CHANGE THIS EVENING WAS TO MODIFY POPS BASED ON CURRENT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND ANTICIPATION OF ADDITIONAL CONVECTION LATE
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AS WEAK S/WV PASSES OVER KANSAS. WILL
BE VERY TOUGH FOR CONVECTION TO BUILD TO AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE-40 WITH FAIRLY STOUT CAP IN PLACE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  94  75  95 /  30  30  20   0
HOBART OK         76  98  75  97 /  20  10  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  77  99  76  97 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           67  94  73  97 /  20  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  75  95 /  60  40  20   0
DURANT OK         76  95  75  95 /   0  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/26/10



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