Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 012039
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
339 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING ACROSS OUR AREA SHOULD MAINTAIN A QUIET
WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH SEASONABLY NORMAL
TEMPERATURES PERSISTING AND MILD NIGHTS. ONLY SMALL ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE TO THE TEMPERATURE GRIDS IN THE SHORT RANGE.

FOR SUNDAY NIGHT, A RATHER WEAK SFC LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, ALONG WITH AN
ASSOCIATED SFC TROUGH. THE STRONGEST UPPER LEVEL FORCING FOR THIS
WEEKEND WILL BE A TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN U.S.
HOWEVER, WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS, IT IS QUESTIONABLE WHETHER THE SFC BOUNDARY WILL
ADVANCE VERY FAR INTO OUR AREA, IF AT ALL.  ALTHOUGH LONG RANGE
MODELS STILL CRANK OUT QPF FOR MONDAY/TUESDAY TIME FRAMES, THE
UNCERTAINTY FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN LOW TSRA POPS FOR DAYS 6 AND 7.
AT THE CURRENT TIME, THE BEST CHANCES FOR TSRA DEVELOPING WOULD BE
NEAR THE CONVERGENT SFC BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  92  71  92 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         71  95  71  94 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  72  96  72  95 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           71  94  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     71  92  71  92 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         71  93  72  94 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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