Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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080
FXUS64 KOUN 262336
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
636 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...
The July 27, 2016 00 UTC TAF discussion is below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Generally expect VFR conditions to continue at all terminals
through the TAF period. Isolated showers (perhaps a thunderstorm)
will be in vicinity of KOUN and KOKC through 01Z.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to
redevelop tomorrow afternoon; however, the probability of
affecting a terminal is too low to include in TAFs. The greatest
probability for thunderstorms will be near KOKC/KOUN/KLAW/KSPS.
Any thunderstorm could bring brief MVFR conditions and variable
and gusty winds. Otherwise, winds will remain light (< 10 knots)
from the east to southeast through the end of period.

Mahale

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 313 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Shower and storm chances will continue through Sunday. Tonight,
the focus will be primarily near a weak surface boundary across
southern Oklahoma. Then over the next few days, the area will be
under the influence of northwesterly flow aloft and we may see one
or more thunderstorm complexes roll southeast out of the central
plains as well as some isolated to scattered convection potential
over the area. as is often the case with northwest flow
scenarios... confidence is not too high very far in the future on
specific timing of the shortwaves and the timing and location of
the thunderstorm complexes.

The upper ridge axis is advertised to shift back over the Plains
early next week lowering storm chances and increasing
temperatures.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  73  91  73  95 /  20  30  20  30
Hobart OK         73  94  73  98 /  20  20  20  20
Wichita Falls TX  75  96  75  98 /  30  30  20  30
Gage OK           69  95  69  97 /  20  20  20  20
Ponca City OK     72  91  73  93 /  20  30  30  30
Durant OK         75  94  74  93 /  30  50  30  40

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

11/10/10



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