Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 231932
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
232 PM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Main concerns continue to be with thunderstorm chances from the
middle and latter part of the upcoming week and associated severe
potential and heavy rainfall.

South winds return to tonight and will become quite strong and
gusty on Monday across much of the area. This will aid in the
continuation of warm up early this week. Still warmer temps
expected on Tuesday as dryline works through parts of western
Oklahoma and western north Texas with afternoon highs well into
the 80s and 90s to the west of this feature. Although capped
through the day, sufficient moisture will return northward by
Tuesday evening, along with some cooling aloft for an increase in
precip chances to occur. Not out of the question for a few strong
to perhaps severe storms, mainly along and east of I-35 Tuesday
evening. However, higher severe chances look to remain to the
north and east of our area.

A strong cold front will move through Tuesday night into early
Wednesday with perhaps a few lingering showers/thunderstorms.
Otherwise, another cool, windy day expected Wednesday.

Thursday will be another transition day between systems as south
winds quickly return in advance of our next storm system. Although
the front the day before will advance south into the Gulf of
Mexico, the moisture looks to make a quick return northward
Thursday into Friday on the heels of these south winds. Models
continue to have some run to run consistency issues, however it
does appear that the potential exists for severe weather across a
good portion of Oklahoma into north Texas Friday and perhaps
Saturday as well. Along with the severe weather, heavy, potential
flooding rainfall will also be possible.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  46  77  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         46  80  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  45  81  62  92 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           50  84  57  81 /   0   0   0  10
Ponca City OK     47  77  57  82 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         47  77  58  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/30


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