Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 270224
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
924 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE BREEZY AND MILD...AS SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE
AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM. EVERYTHING APPEARS TO BE ON
TRACK AT THIS TIME...AND NO FORECAST CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS
EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 600 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014/

AVIATION...
27/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH
INCREASING MID/HIGH CLOUDS. BRISK S/SW WINDS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.
FRONT EXPECTED TO REACH NW OK AROUND MIDDAY AND WILL BE NEARING
CENTRAL OK BY THE END OF THE PD. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS MAY
DEVELOP VICINITY OF THE FRONT TOWARD THE END OF THE PD AS IT
NEARS CENTRAL OK. HOWEVERE...CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE
IN FORECAST ATTM.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 235 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER VERY WARM/HOT DAY ON TAP FOR MONDAY ACROSS MUCH OF
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... BEFORE COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH THE AREA.

SHOULD SEE QUITE A BIT OF HIGH CLOUDS ON MONDAY AND THIS MAY KEEP
TEMPS DOWN A FEW DEGREES FROM WHAT WE HAVE SEEN THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS. IN FAR NORTHWEST OK THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY ENOUGH
TO GIVE THAT AREA RELIEF FROM THE HEAT. THE FRONT WILL APPROACH
THE I-44 CORRIDOR BY EARLY EVENING WITH A CHANCE TO SEE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT. WITH BEST CHANCE WILL
BE FROM CENTRAL INTO EASTERN OK. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE... BUT SEVERE WEATHER STILL APPEARS UNLIKELY AS
INSTABILITY REMAINS LIMITED. PRECIP SHOULD EXIT SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EARLY TUESDAY WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPS THEN ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PLAINS INTO
THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY BY LATE WEEK... WHICH WILL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA. STILL SOME
DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AS TO PRECIP
CHANCES... BUT MAY MAINTAIN SOME LOW POPS THURSDAY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST AND ALONG RED RIVER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  62  85  52  70 /   0  10  20   0
HOBART OK         62  87  51  71 /   0   0  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  62  88  57  74 /   0   0  20   0
GAGE OK           58  78  43  68 /   0   0  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     64  83  50  70 /   0  10  30   0
DURANT OK         62  84  62  73 /   0   0  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/02



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