Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 231117
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
617 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
PATCHES OF BR...AND ISOLATED AREAS OF FG...WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN
A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE WILL
BE A POSSIBILITY OF SCT TSRA...MAINLY E OF A LINE FROM KPNC TO
KSPS. OTHERWISE...ONLY LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 419 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WE WILL RETAIN THE
EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH CURRENTLY EXPIRES AT 7 PM THIS
EVENING. TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
TEMPERATURES...BUT LOWER DEW POINTS...THAN TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR A CONTINUED HEAT ADVISORY TOMORROW...BUT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES WILL BE WELL WITHIN ADVISORY CRITERIA ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...WE MAY NOT MEET THE 48-HOUR PERSISTENCE CRITERIA ON
FRIDAY IF THURSDAY IS COOLER THAN EXPECTED. WILL DEFER TO LATER
SHIFTS TO DECIDE ON WHETHER AN EXTENSION TO THE HEAT ADVISORY IS
APPROPRIATE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO OKLAHOMA
TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE NEAR OR SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE HOT AS SOUTHWEST LOW-
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST.

A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BREAK FROM THE HEAT...AND ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THAT A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT THAT IS
BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  95  72  96  76 /  10  10   0   0
HOBART OK         99  72 100  74 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  98  74 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           98  70 100  76 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     94  72  92  77 /  10  10   0   0
DURANT OK         96  73 100  74 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>031-
     033>042-044>047-050-051.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/23/23


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