Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 172334
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
634 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2016

.DISCUSSION...
The 00Z aviation discussion follows....

&&

.AVIATION...
Low level moisture will continue its slow northwesterly advance
tonight into Thursday. Much like last night, low ceilings will
form/move northwest, mainly after midnight. Some lowered
visibilities will be possible along the leading edge of the cloud
cover, although probably not as low as this morning. The clouds
are expected to advance farther northwest tomorrow than today,
probably at least as far as KCSM-KEND-KPNC. And, like today,
ceilings will rise, then dissipate during the morning to early
afternoon. Some rain/thunderstorms will be possible Thursday
morning, most likely along/southeast of I-44, but current
probabilities are too low to mention in TAFs. Wind speeds and
directions will not change much through the period.

CmS
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 346 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Widely scattered showers across south central and southeast
Oklahoma and western north Texas should diminish late this
afternoon/early evening. However, some redevelopment should
occur by late evening/overnight along and southeast of a
McAlester to Ardmore and Wichita Falls line.

Low clouds and perhaps some fog should also develop late this
evening and overnight with the exception of northwest/north
central Oklahoma.

Showers should become more numerous across southern Oklahoma and
part of western north Texas as heating occurs Thursday morning
into the afternoon. Showers and storms should decrease by evening
with some redevelopment possible overnight/early Friday.

Early Friday into the first part of the weekend, a trough will
amplify as it moves from the northern Rockies into the Midwest.
This system will push a cold front into northern Oklahoma around
Friday evening. At least scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected to form along and behind the front. A few models veer
winds over southern Oklahoma and north Texas late Friday into
Saturday which may reduce precipitation coverage.

Precipitation may linger across southern Oklahoma and north Texas
this weekend, but northern and central Oklahoma should enjoy dry
weather.

Rain chances will increase again by Tuesday of next week as a
trough approaches from the south and west.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  87  70  90 /  10  50  20  30
Hobart OK         69  89  70  91 /  10  30  20  20
Wichita Falls TX  70  88  70  90 /  40  50  30  50
Gage OK           65  92  68  94 /   0  10  10  30
Ponca City OK     70  89  70  91 /   0  20  30  30
Durant OK         71  85  71  88 /  60  70  40  50

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

03/23/23



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