Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 172149
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
349 PM CST WED DEC 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE FIRST UPPER WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT.
SOUTHEASTERLY/SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL KEEP SOME DEGREE OF
POSITIVE TEMPERATURE AND MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE LOW LEVELS
WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE WARM ENOUGH FOR LIQUID
RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT... ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS
HAVE TEMPS CLOSER TO 0 DEGREES C IN LOW LEVELS NORTH. WITH THE
TEMPERATURES THIS CLOSE TO ZERO... MAY SEE A LITTLE MIX OF SLEET
OR LIGHT SNOW IN THE FAR NORTH OVERNIGHT... BUT EXPECT RAIN TO BE
THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. WE MAY ALSO STILL SEE SOME SLEET
FARTHER SOUTH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING FARTHER SOUTH WITH THE MORE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS IN THE
PRECIP AREA... BUT MOST OF THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE EAST OUT OF THE AREA BY EARLY EVENING SO WILL NOT MENTION
SLEET IN THE ZONES EXCEPT IN THE FAR NORTH.

THE NEXT WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS FRIDAY. A SURFACE BOUNDARY
DEVELOPING NEAR THE TEXAS GULF COAST WILL KEEP LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE FOCUSED WELL TO OUR SOUTH ALONG WITH THE MOST
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. BUT WITH MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...STILL EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE WARM
ENOUGH FOR LIQUID PRECIPITATION AS WELL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  37  47  37  44 /  40  20  20  20
HOBART OK         37  47  36  45 /  30  20  20  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  40  53  40  49 /  30  10  30  40
GAGE OK           33  42  31  45 /  40  20  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     33  41  34  42 /  60  30  20  20
DURANT OK         39  51  42  49 /  80  20  30  50

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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