Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 291138 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
638 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
29/12Z TAF DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR FOG WILL BE SEEN MAINLY AROUND KPNC EARLY THIS
MORNING...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSRA EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH AND EAST OF TERMINALS.
MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY. AS
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHIFTS OVER THE TERMINALS THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON...LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 354 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
VERY WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAKING SLOW PROGRESS ACROSS THE REGION
EARLY THIS MORNING...EXTENDING FROM NEAR ELK CITY TO PONCA CITY AT
THIS TYPING. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OVER FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL AND
EASTERN OKLAHOMA LATE TODAY THEN MIX BACK NORTH OF REGION SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT. ANY CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND/OR STORMS
SHOULD BE NEAR AND AHEAD OF BOUNDARY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

BEGINNING THIS EVENING...FORECAST WILL REMAIN POP FREE WITH
INCREASING HEIGHTS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. ECM HAS COME
MORE IN LINE WITH THE GFS...KEEPING UPPER TROUGH JUST TO OUR EAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. IF THERE IS SOME RETROGRADING WE COULD SEE
DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS OR A FEW STORMS EAST OF I-35 MID TO LATE
WEEK. WITH CONFIDENCE ON THE LOW SIDE...WE WILL STAY WITH THE
BLENDED INITIALIZATIONS AND KEEP FORECAST DRY. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  90  67  91  68 /  10   0   0   0
HOBART OK         93  66  95  68 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  70  98  72 /  20  10  10   0
GAGE OK           90  62  93  65 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     87  65  89  68 /  10  10   0   0
DURANT OK         94  71  95  71 /  30  10  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/11


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