Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 292335
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
635 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
30/00Z TAF discussion follows.

&&

.AVIATION...
Primarily VFR forecast through the period outside of thunderstorm
impacts that would take some sites down to MVFR restrictions.
Relatively low confidence in thunderstorm evolution but most CAM
indicate scattered storms could affect far western Oklahoma, KCSM
and KHBR, toward and after midnight and other storms could affect
KOKC and KPNC after 09-11Z. Will leave storm inclusion with VCTS
or PROB30 for now. Winds should be light through 12Z with
south/southwest winds increasing after 15Z tomorrow.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 138 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Rain and thunderstorms from the complex that crossed northern and
central OKlahoma earlier today have left many small-scale surface
boundaries over Oklahoma this afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms
may form most likely over western and southern Oklahoma and
adjacent parts of north Texas where today has been mostly sunny
and where temperatures have climbed into the 90s. Early Saturday,
a complex of thunderstorms may cross into northern Oklahoma from
Kansas. There is a small wave in the mid-level flow that is
forecast to pass across central and southeast Kansas Saturday
morning that would direct the rain and thunderstorms toward north
central or northeast Okalhoma. Associated clouds will persist
through the morning while western Oklahoma will likely have a more
sunny morning leading to afternoon temperatures in the upper 90s.
After Saturday, the upper ridge is expected to become more
dominant over the southern plains keeping any rain to the north
and east for much of next week. Regardless, it will be very hot
next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  72  93  74  96 /  40  20  10  10
Hobart OK         73  97  74  98 /  30  20  10   0
Wichita Falls TX  74  99  76  99 /  20  20   0   0
Gage OK           68  94  72  98 /  30  20  20  10
Ponca City OK     71  88  74  95 /  60  40  30  20
Durant OK         74  95  75  97 /  30  30   0  10

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

10/11


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