Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 290812
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
312 AM CDT THU SEP 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Fall weather has returned and should continue for at least the
next couple of days with highs only climbing into the 70s today and
Friday. The temperatures along with fairly light winds and mostly
sunny skies should lead to a couple of pleasant days across the
area. Temperatures will begin to warm a bit over the weekend into
early next week with highs reaching the 80s most of that time.

An upper ridge will continue over parts of the region for the rest
of the work week with a closed low over the Ohio Valley and upper
trough along the West Coast. This will continue to leave the area
dry for at least a couple more days. There will be a low chance for
showers/storms Saturday night in NW parts of the fa. Otherwise, most
of the area will remain dry through the weekend.

Models have come into better agreement on tonight`s 0Z model runs in
regards to the upper pattern for early next week compared to
yesterday`s 0Z runs. Models show the upper trough/low moving into
and across the western U.S. this weekend and early next week with
the upper low centered over Wyoming by 12Z Tuesday. The upper
low/trough will continue to move east or northeast Tuesday/Wednesday
with a dryline and cold front expected to affect the region. This
system will bring a chance for showers/storms to the fa starting
Monday night and continuing into Wednesday. Strong to severe storms
may be possible Tuesday but there are still some uncertainties,
especially on how much low-level moisture will be able to return to
the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  72  50  74  53 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         73  49  74  53 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  73  51  77  54 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           72  48  76  52 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     70  47  74  50 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         76  51  78  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

23/25



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