Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 240346
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1055 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.AVIATION...
24/06Z TAFS...LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUS THINKING. SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT COULD BRIEFLY DROP VSBY TO MVFR AT A FEW SITES
AROUND SUNRISE...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED. OTHERWISE...VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 607 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT COULD BRIEFLY DROP VSBY TO MVFR AT A FEW SITES
AROUND SUNRISE...BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL LAST INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. BY MONDAY...A STORM SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND
CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING OUR NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO RECORD OR NEAR-RECORD VALUES THIS
WEEKEND...THEN RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE NUMBERS ON TUESDAY.

BEYOND THE RANGE OF THIS FORECAST...MODELS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE
MORE INSISTENT THAT SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER-THAN-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL ARRIVE AROUND THE END OF NEXT WEEK...AT LEAST BRIEFLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  57  85  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         57  87  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  59  88  60  91 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           54  88  54  90 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  85  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         55  82  60  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/23



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