Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 312345
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
01/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS
OF OKLAHOMA AND WITH SLIGHTLY WEAKER SURFACE WIND EXPECTED NEAR
KPNC WILL ADD LLWS TO TERMINAL THERE. FROPA EXPECTED AROUND 16Z
OVER FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TERMINALS WITH S-SW MODERATE WINDS
AHEAD OF FRONT. ANY STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT THIS EVENING WILL
STAY WELL NORTH OF OKLAHOMA...AND ANY STORMS TOMORROW WOULD OCCUR
AFTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 111 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK WILL BE VERY HOT AND HUMID WHEN HEAT INDEX
VALUES RANGE 100 TO 105. IT WILL FEEL MORE LIKE JULY THAN EARLY
SEPTEMBER. A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TO NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY AND STALL. ALTHOUGH THE WESTERLIES WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF OKLAHOMA, A WEAK WAVE IS FORECAST TO PASS
ACROSS KANSAS MONDAY NIGHT AND RAIN AND THUNDER IS LIKELY THERE.
SOME OF THIS IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT. THIS
FRONT MAY LINGER THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY BEFORE RETURNING NORTH
EARLY WEDNESDAY. BEYOND WEDNESDAY, RAIN CHANCES ARE VERY LOW UNTIL
THE WEEKEND. A STRONG MID-SUMMER LIKE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
BUILD OVER OK. A WEAK FRONT MAY MOVE INTO OK DURING NEXT WEEKEND
WHICH WOULD BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN. HOWEVER, THE LOCATION OF THE
UPPER RIDGE AND THE TRACK OF THE WESTERLIES SO FAR NORTH OF
OKLAHOMA CURRENTLY GIVE LOW CONFIDENCE TO WEEKEND RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /  10  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /  10  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  20  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/99/11



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