Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
FXUS64 KOUN 211536 AAA
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1036 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016
Increased highs a few degrees in northwestern Oklahoma. Also,
nudged surface dewpoints upwards.
Sunny and mild weather can be expected today.
Latest surface dewpoint observations mainly in the 38 to 48 degree
range as of 1030 am were a few degrees higher than previously
forecast. Also, most latest models indicated that locations near
Woodward, Gage, Buffalo, and Alva should warm up a bit warmer than
previously forecast where south southwesterly winds will be
strongest and have a small downslope warming effect on surface
temperatures. Thus, made the small changes above.
Products will be updated shortly.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 616 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016/
21/12Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected with winds returning to
southerly direction. Gusts over 20KT will be seen over far western
Oklahoma terminals this afternoon.
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 326 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016/
Quite cool this morning with several early morning temperatures in
the 30s and lower 40s. Relatively light wind and temperatures
rising into the 70s this afternoon. As lower level ridge shifts
east and lee trough develops, moderate-strong southerly winds will
be forecast for Saturday. This will lead to elevated fire dangers,
All models very similar in evolution/timing of trough early next
week which will bring the next chance for rain to the region.
Chances for showers and thunderstorms will Tuesday and continue
through the day Wednesday near a weak cold front. Temperatures
will remain near and above average through next week. Toward the
end of forecast period and beyond, models indicate southward shift
in main band of westerlies which would yield a more active and
Ahead of moisture return, which is forecast to commence late
Sunday into Monday, low afternoon humidities and gusty south winds
will lead to elevated wildfire dangers. This will be most
pronounced across far western Oklahoma and adjacent parts of
northern Texas. Winds are expected to be strongest on Saturday
with afternoon humidities falling into the 20 to 30 percent range.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 70 47 77 53 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 70 47 78 53 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls TX 71 47 79 53 / 0 0 0 0
Gage OK 74 46 83 50 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 68 46 78 53 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 71 48 76 51 / 0 0 0 0