Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 230832
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
332 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HOT AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND INTO AT
LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

MANY AREAS REACHED THE CENTURY MARK YESTERDAY AND EXPECT THAT TO
OCCUR TODAY... SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY MONDAY WITH BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AND SUNNY SKIES. HOWEVER STILL EXPECT A BIT
LOWER DEWPOINTS WHICH WILL KEEP HEAT INDICES AT MOST LOCATIONS
JUST BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA... ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE HOT... SO
CONT TO TAKE NECESSARY HEAT PRECAUTIONS TO MINIMIZE RISK.

WILL MAINTAIN LOW POPS ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... AS TROPICAL
MOISTURE PLUME MAINTAINS FEED NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN PLAINS.

AS WE LOOK OUT TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THIS WEEK...
THE MODELS THIS MORNING HAVE AGAIN DIVERGED WITH RESPECT TO TIMING
OF UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SFC FRONT AND PRECIP. GFS CONT TO
MAINTAIN QUICKER EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH AND BRINGS SFC
COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THEN
SWEEPS THE FRONT SOUTH AND BRINGS AN END TO THE PRECIP CHANCES...
BUT DOES COOL TEMPS DOWN A BIT FOR LATE WEEK. HOWEVER LATEST EURO
SLOWS THE UPPER TROUGH DOWN QUITE A BIT... WHICH SLOWS THE PASSAGE
OF THE SFC FRONT. IT DOES KEEP THE FRONT IN THE AREA FOR SEVERAL
DAYS AND MAINTAINS PRECIP CHANCES RIGHT ON INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG
WITH A LONGER PERIOD OF COOLER WEATHER. WILL TREND A BIT TOWARD
THE EURO WITH RESPECT TO AT LEAST EXTENDING A MENTION OF PRECIP
INTO THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 100  74 100  74 /  10   0  10  10
HOBART OK        101  75 101  76 /  10  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 102  75 101  75 /  10   0  10  10
GAGE OK           99  76  99  74 /  20  20  20  20
PONCA CITY OK    100  74  99  75 /  10   0  10  10
DURANT OK        100  74 100  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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