Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 192021
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
321 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Circulation around weak surface high pressure over northeast
Oklahoma, will keep a rather humid air mass over southern
Oklahoma and north Texas from advecting northward this afternoon
and tonight.

An upper ridge centered over the southwestern United States will
build eastward Tuesday. This will bring a return of 90 degree
temperatures which will last through the end of the work week.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop over the higher terrain
Wednesday and Thursday afternoon. A few of these storms may move
across northwest and west central Oklahoma during the late evening
or overnight hours.

Models differ on the timing, but around the end of the week, a
trough is expected to move across the northern half of the
Rockies. This system is expected to push a cold front through
the area, perhaps as early as Friday night Saturday morning. This
should bring a decent chance of scattered showers and
thunderstorms along with cooler temperatures.

Over the past 30-45 days, parts of central, west central,
and southwest Oklahoma & parts of western north Texas have
received little in the way of precipitation. Meanwhile, fuels
for grass and wildland fires are increasing. Therefore, breezy
southerly winds Wednesday into Friday may elevate fire weather
concerns, especially across western Oklahoma.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  66  92  68  93 /   0   0  10   0
Hobart OK         67  96  69  98 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  69  94  68  96 /  10   0   0   0
Gage OK           64  97  71  98 /   0   0  10   0
Ponca City OK     63  92  69  93 /   0   0  10   0
Durant OK         68  93  68  94 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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