Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 240815
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
315 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Part of a strong western trough/low will move across the northern
Rockies and Plains today. Strong enough flow over the Intermountain
region will result in a cutoff low near northern Mexico by late
weekend. Meanwhile, the trough moving across the northern Plains
will continue east into the Great Lakes region. This will help
push a cold front across Oklahoma and north Texas. As this occurs,
widespread rain and embedded thunderstorms will develop.

Before the front enters northern Oklahoma tonight, scattered showers
and thunderstorms should develop, especially across the western
1/3rd or 1/2 of Oklahoma (afternoon/early evening). Although
current PW values are not as high compared with the last month or
so, some of the storms will produce locally heavy rainfall and
gusty winds.

Rain and storm chances will gradually end, starting in northern
Oklahoma Sunday afternoon. By Sunday evening/early Monday better
rain and storm chances should be limited to the southern third of
Oklahoma and northern Texas.

By Tuesday, most areas will be dry with near to slightly below
average temperatures.  Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase
slightly Thursday into Friday as a trough skirts the area.
Western and northern Oklahoma will have the best chance for rain
with this feature.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  85  69  75  57 /  60  90  80  30
Hobart OK         84  68  73  57 /  70  80  70  30
Wichita Falls TX  87  70  78  59 /  60  80  90  60
Gage OK           83  62  74  51 /  60  60  30  10
Ponca City OK     85  68  74  54 /  60  90  80  20
Durant OK         90  72  85  63 /  30  50  60  40

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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