Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 270314
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
914 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2014

.UPDATE...
MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS OVERNIGHT AS RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST
CHANCES FOR -SN HAVE DECREASED SOMEWHAT ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA. ALSO INTRODUCED ISO THUNDER OVER SOUTH CENTRAL OK WITH
RECENT HEAVY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST IS
LARGELY UNCHANGED. STILL EXPECT LIGHT SNOW OR A MIX OF RAIN/SNOW
FROM ROUGHLY I-44 WEST THROUGH SATURDAY AM. ACCUMULATIONS IF
ANY...WILL BE QUITE LOW...THOUGH ANY SNOWBANDS THAT DEVELOP MAY
LOCALLY LEAD TO A DUSTING TO QUARTER INCH OF SNOW FROM
NORTHWESTERN THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.
IMPACTS SHOULD BE MINOR GIVEN GROUND TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING...BUT
EXPOSED ROADS SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY BECOME SLICK IN A
FEW PLACES THAT SEE LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 520 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2014/

AVIATION...
COLD FRONT NEAR I-44 CORRIDOR WILL CONT TO PUSH SOUTHEAST THIS
EVENING WITH NORTH WINDS THROUGH REMAINDER OF FORECAST. A FEW
GUSTS ACROSS SOUTHWEST SITES MAY EXCEED 20KTS THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TO GIVE WAY TO MAINLY CLEAR
SKIES DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY... ESPECIALLY BY AFTN. THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHWEST THIS EVENING
AND LIGHT RAIN NEAR I-44 CORRIDOR... HOWEVER CHANCES REMAIN TOO
LOW TO MENTION IN FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

30

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A WAVE IS LIFTING NORTHEAST FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TODAY. MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT IS OBSERVED ON RADAR
IN THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE IS VIRGA AS LOW LEVELS REMAIN DRY
IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE. THERE IS A BIT MORE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IN THE NORTHEASTERN PANHANDLES AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
AS EVIDENCED BY THE STRATUS... SO WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS THERE.
WILL ALSO KEEP CHANCE POPS EAST WHERE SOME LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE
DEVELOPMENT. BUT OVERALL FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW... IT DOES NOT
LOOK LIKE TOO SIGNIFICANT OF AN EVENT OVER THE AREA AND WILL
CONTINUE TO TREND OF DECREASING POPS AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS.

THE OTHER MAIN WEATHER ISSUE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE SIGNIFICANTLY
COLDER WEATHER NEXT WEEK. THE FORECAST STILL LOOKS GOOD WITH THIS
AND DID NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE EXTENDED.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  33  39  25  46 /  30  20   0   0
HOBART OK         30  40  22  46 /  20  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  36  42  26  48 /  20  20   0   0
GAGE OK           23  37  18  45 /  10   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     31  39  22  43 /  30  10   0   0
DURANT OK         41  44  29  47 /  50  30  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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