Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 250525
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1125 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014

.AVIATION...
BREEZY SOUTH WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT...INCREASING IN THE 13Z
TO 16Z TIMEFRAME. SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 TO 35 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS
SHOULD DECREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS BY 00Z FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
THROUGH THE DAY.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY ISSUES IN THE SHORT TERM ARE THE WINDY CONDITIONS AND
RELATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES AND MIN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE CURRENTLY NOT
FORECAST TO REACH CRITERIA FOR FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES /MAX
TEMPERATURE OF 65 AND MIN RH OF 20 PERCENT/... BUT THE BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL CREATE ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR. AS FAR AS WIND... A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE
NECESSARY FOR TOMORROW... BUT WILL DEFER TO LATER SHIFTS.

A STORM SYSTEM LAZILY MOVES FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY WITH A SURFACE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH NOT VERY COLD... ENOUGH
COLD AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW
OR A MIX LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
ACCUMULATION APPROACHING AN INCH IN PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE ANY ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE LIGHT.

TOWARD THE END OF THE EXTENDED... ANOTHER FRONT MONDAY BRINGS MUCH
COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA AND POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION. ECMWF
LOW-LEVEL THERMO FIELDS SHOW POTENTIAL OF UNCOMFORTABLY COLD
WEATHER BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH A 1050 MB HIGH MOVING DOWN
THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. WILL WATCH TRENDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
FOR INDICATIONS OF HOW COLD THIS AIRMASS WILL BE FOR THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  30  58  42  53 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         30  59  40  52 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  31  64  43  60 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           28  60  33  40 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     29  57  41  49 /   0   0   0  20
DURANT OK         32  58  45  57 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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