Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 302318
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
618 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
0z TAF discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR/VFR ceilings expected through the taf period. Some
showers/storms could affect the area tonight but better chances
will be Tuesday. Activity will be scattered and timing is a bit
uncertain so difficult to know when/where to put in TAFS but do
mention PROB30s for part of the day Tuesday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 324 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A few showers and storms may form during peak heating this afternoon,
otherwise partly cloudy and humid conditions will prevail into the
evening. A stronger southerly flow has returned to the High Plains
and near surface moisture is improving somewhat. Most models
develop convection during the afternoon over the high terrain of
West Texas. Scattered storms may reach western Oklahoma and
western north Texas during the mid to late evening hours with
perhaps a better chance over southwest Oklahoma and northern
Texas.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to form
by at least Tuesday afternoon as a cold front moves slowly
across northern Oklahoma. The front will continue to push slowly
southward Tuesday night into Wednesday with a continued chance
for scattered to widespread showers and storms. Heavy rainfall
and associated flooding will be a concern, especially Tuesday
afternoon through early Wednesday.

An upper low/trough over the Desert Southwest will move slowly
east Wednesday through Thursday before becoming nearly stationary
over South Texas by Friday/Saturday. Therefore, thunderstorms will
remain in the forecast Thursday and Friday for mainly southern
Oklahoma and northern Texas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  65  81  63  77 /  30  70  70  60
Hobart OK         65  82  62  78 /  40  70  70  50
Wichita Falls TX  66  83  64  80 /  40  50  70  60
Gage OK           62  79  59  75 /  30  60  70  40
Ponca City OK     65  80  61  76 /  30  60  70  50
Durant OK         67  83  66  79 /  30  50  70  70

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

04/25/25



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