Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
FXUS64 KLUB 291103

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
603 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

VFR next 24 hours. Gusty winds will persist through this cycle.
Check density altitude - highs today near 38C.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 332 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017/

Forecast continuity remains in place today, with high temperatures
ranging mostly from 100 to 105, which will be the peak of the heat
through the holiday weekend and the remainder of the forecast

A dry cold front passing south through our CWA overnight into
Friday morning, will drop temps back to more seasonal values.
We`ll see even slightly more cooling on Saturday. The
aforementioned surface front will stall just to our south Friday
with moderate and moist upslope flow aloft riding over the surface
boundary most of the day. This will eventually provide enough
boundary level moisture, with PWATs 25%-50% above normal, and
lift, for scattered to possibly even a short period of widespread
rainfall by late Saturday afternoon into the overnight Sunday.
That similar pattern continues from Sunday into early Monday as
well. Details on timing and intensity of best convection remains
too uncertain at the moment and will have to wait for higher
resolution models to take over in the coming days.

Nonetheless, there`s decent consensus in the overall pattern through
the middle of next week, with continuous upper level shortwave
troughing on the east side of a ridge across the Southwest. Long
range models are currently hinting at a large amplified ridge across
the center of the country by the end of next week, which could lead
to another long stretch of above normal heat




99/99/26 is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.