Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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337
FXUS63 KOAX 300913
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
313 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...(today through Friday)
Issued at 312 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

WV imagery this morning was showing a deep upper trof over the cntrl
conus along with a tight circulation/sfc reflection centered over
the Upper Midwest. Meanwhile...mosaic 88D was picking up returns
over the Dakotas/Upper Midwest with leading edge of the light snow
slowly approaching the NE/SD border. Snow activity all in part to
potent vort max rounding the backside of the upper level low...in
addition to rather stout 305k upglide per RAP13.

HIRES ARW/NMM as well as HRRR/RAP23 all remain consistent indicating
that accumulating snowfall over the nrn CWA this morning will be
limited as the aforementioned backside vort max/sfc low continues
pushing off to the east. And at this point...still feel amounts
around half an inch or less in the going fcst is still on track.

Otherwise...dry and cold conditions on tap Thursday and Friday
with max temps only in the mid/upper 30s both days.


.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 312 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

ECM and GFS continue to show no significant weather to be concerned
about until next Saturday night when the next round of pcpn is
possible.

GFS/ECM/CMC in relatively  agreement advertising a Pac NW shortwave
trof moving into the cntrl plains with pcpn developing within the
warm sector just ahead of the wave. Models are also in decent
agreement northward expansion of activity will halt as it approaches
the I-80 corridor with initial pcpn a RA/SN mix before all SN after
midnight.

Otherwise...the GFS and CMC are advertising another big storm system
entering the cntrl plains with the potential for hefty SN
accumulations.




&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2016

The large storm system over Minnesota will remain in place tonight
and slowly drift into Wisconsin Wednesday. A shortwave trough
combined with reinforcing colder air will result in on and off
flurries and light snow into Wednesday. MVFR cigs should persist
tonight and Wednesday morning. The flurries should become more
common and mentioned a tempo group for IFR conditions with the
light snow at KOFK toward 12Z. Some improvement in the cigs could
occur at KLNK Wednesday, however MVFR conditions should linger
through much of the day at KOFK and KOMA. Northwest winds will
remain 10 to 20kts and gusty.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...Zapotocny



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