Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 130924

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
324 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2017

.SHORT TERM...(today through Wednesday)
Issued at 322 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2017

Quiet weather continues with above normal temperatures through the 7
day forecast.

A closed upper low continues to move east across the northern
Baja this morning and is forecast to gradually open and continue
east along the International border through the early part of the
week. This feature should cross central Texas by Tuesday
afternoon. Most precipitation associated with this system should
remain confined to the southern Plains with a very small chance
that some light rain could cross into extreme southeastern
Nebraska today. At the surface, high pressure has moved southeast
of the area with weak southwesterly low level flow providing weak
warm air advection. Highs today should mix out into the lower 50s
with some slightly cooler readings across our far south which
should be under thicker cloud cover. A weak cool front is forecast
to slide into the CWA this evening providing mainly a wind shift
with not much cold air advection behind it. A stronger push of
cold air arrives with a secondary front Tuesday afternoon as a
weak upper wave drops through fast northwest flow. Favorable
mixing should increase northwest surface winds but high
temperatures will still remain above normal. A broad area of
surface high pressure will build into the area for mid week.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 322 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2017

By mid-week, an upper level ridge over the western US will slide
into the central states bringing a significant warm up Thursday
and Friday when highs should reach the lower to mid 60s. Mild and
dry conditions will continue through the weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1115 PM CST Sun Feb 12 2017

Mid and high-level clouds will gradually increase from south to
north across the area overnight into Monday ahead of an upper low
moving across northwest Mexico. In the low levels, a surface high
situated over southeast NE/northeast KS as of 05z will develop
east with winds becoming southwest on Monday. A few higher gusts
are possible from late morning through late afternoon.




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