Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 140523

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1023 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 309 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

An upper level low will move east-northeastward acrs NM tonight,
moving into the TX panhandle area Tue morning.  Pcpn is expected to
continue this evening, mostly over the mtns and high valleys, with
maybe just some isold pcpn ovr the sern plains.  Some of the mtns
areas could still see a few inches of snow accumulation this
evening.  By late night, much of the pcpn is expected to end but
some of the southern border areas may continue to see some light
pcpn into Tue morning.

Most of the forecast area should be dry on Tue, with warmer temps.
The southeast plains should see highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s,
with mainly 40s in the high valley locations.

Tue night and Wed will be dry as an upper ridge moves ovr the area.
Temps will be even warmer on Wed with readings in the upper 50s to
lower 60s acrs the southeast plains.  Only slightly warmer temps are
expected in the high valleys, where most temps will be in the 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 309 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

Wednesday Night and Thursday...Upper ridge of high pressure over the
region will keep the forecast area dry and warm through Thursday.
Look for max temps Thu in the 40s and 50s for the high valleys, and
60s to lower 70s for the plains. Southwest flow aloft will start to
strengthen Thu night.

Friday through Monday...The next Pacific low pressure storm system
approaches the West Coast early Friday, and will affect the region
through the rest of the forecast period. Southwest flow aloft
continues to increase through Friday as the upper trough nears, and
pcpn returns to the mts Friday morning. The low pressure system
tracks across the desert sw and Great Basin through Saturday, then
weakens and ejects to the northeast across the Northern Rockies
Sunday and Monday. Chances for snow look to be mainly restricted to
the higher terrain for much of the event, though Sunday evening and
Monday as the system passes to the north isolated activity for the
Plains is forecast due to wraparound. Max temps are expected to be
in the 40s and 50s for the high valleys through Monday. As for the
plains, max temps are still forecast to warm into the 60s to near
70F for Friday due to generally downslope flow, but then cool into
the 50s and 60s for Saturday through Monday. Moore


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1020 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3
taf sites; KPUB, KALS and KCOS. Mid level deck will be over the
region tonight with clearing skies by mid morning. Winds will be




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