Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 211133 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
635 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017

.AVIATION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger
in southeast Arkansas this morning, along with some low clouds
and MVFR conditions. Otherwise, a cold front will push to the
south/east of the region today, with drier air resulting in
VFR conditions through tonight. Winds will become north/northwest
today at 6 to 12 mph, and light north/northeast tonight. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Monday Night
A few showers/thunderstorms lingered in southeast Arkansas early
this morning. Precipitation will exit the area with a cold front
today. Drier air will follow the front, with sunshine for much of
the region.

The front will stall along the Gulf Coast, and rain will not be
far away tonight/Monday. Looking aloft, a big system in the upper
Midwest will start digging back to the south/east Monday and
Monday night. Winds upstairs will go southerly, and will drive
moisture over the stalled front. That will bring in more clouds.
A new cold front will also approach from the Plains.

Given the somewhat unsettled pattern, there are small chances of
showers in the southwest half of Arkansas on Monday. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast across much of
the state Monday night.

As far as temperatures, readings should be at or a little below
average in the near term.
&&

.LONG TERM...Tuesday Through Saturday
Expect a fairly active pattern in the long term period, as the
NOAM longwave pattern remains amplified. At the beginning of the
period, fairly potent upper low will drop down into the northern
Great Lakes region, with the attendant trough pushing a cold front
across Arkansas.

High pressure will push across Arkansas Wednesday and Thursday,
before another system approaches the region. The next system will
likely affect the area some time toward the end of the week and into
the weekend, with showers and thunderstorms returning to the
forecast.

The good news is, with the upper pattern keeping cooler air
reinforced over the region, temperatures will largely stay below
seasonal averages through the period.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     76  53  75  56 /   0   0   0  20
Camden AR         79  59  75  56 /  20  10  20  30
Harrison AR       72  50  76  54 /   0   0  10  30
Hot Springs AR    79  57  76  55 /  10  10  10  30
Little Rock   AR  79  58  76  58 /  10  10  10  30
Monticello AR     79  59  75  58 /  20  10  20  30
Mount Ida AR      78  55  76  55 /  10  10  10  30
Mountain Home AR  74  51  77  55 /   0   0  10  20
Newport AR        76  55  76  58 /  10   0   0  20
Pine Bluff AR     79  58  75  58 /  20  10  10  30
Russellville AR   79  54  78  56 /   0   0   0  30
Searcy AR         77  55  76  56 /  10   0   0  20
Stuttgart AR      79  57  75  59 /  10  10  10  20
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...46 / Long Term...57



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