Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 180857
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
357 AM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

A STALLED BOUNDARY REMAINS STRETCHED ACROSS NORTHERN AR EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF CONVECTION ON GOING DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING AT LEAST SOME CHANCE OF
STORMS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS TODAY...ESPECIALLY AS
DIURNAL HEATING OCCURS.

MEANWHILE...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SWINGING OUT OF THE
ARKLATEX REGION...SPARKING A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THIS AREA OF STORMS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
GIVEN ITS INITIAL SLOW MOVING NATURE. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE THE SYSTEM
EXITS EAST.

THE AFOREMENTIONED STALL FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK
TO THE NORTH LATE THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION. STILL HAVE PRECIP CHANCES
ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN LOCATIONS THROUGH MID WEEK AS AN
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH THE BOUNDARY JUST NORTH OF THE
STATE. OTHERWISE...THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE WILL REMAIN DRY.

HOT SUMMERTIME TEMPERATURE WILL RETURN IN FULL FORCE UNDER THE DOME OF
HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HIGH PRES ALOFT IS PROGGED TO BE SITUATED ACRS THE REGION LATE THIS
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WL RESULT IN TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
CONDS WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND LOW TEMPS IN THE UPR 60S TO MID 70S.
AFTN HEAT INDICES ARE FCST TO RANGE FROM 100 TO 104 DEGREES EACH
AFTN. EXPECT LTL IN THE WAY OF DIURNAL CONVECTION TO PROVIDE ANY
RELIEF FM THE HEAT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     93  71  95  73 /  20  20  20  20
CAMDEN AR         90  72  94  73 /  30  20  10  20
HARRISON AR       92  69  93  71 /  10  20  20  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    91  73  93  76 /  20  20  10  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  92  72  94  76 /  20  20  20  20
MONTICELLO AR     90  72  95  75 /  30  20  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      92  68  93  72 /  20  20  10  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  93  68  97  71 /  20  20  20  20
NEWPORT AR        92  71  94  74 /  20  20  20  20
PINE BLUFF AR     89  71  93  74 /  30  20  10  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   94  69  96  72 /  20  20  20  20
SEARCY AR         92  70  93  74 /  20  20  20  20
STUTTGART AR      90  71  91  75 /  30  20  20  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...224 / LONG TERM...44




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