Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 102026
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
226 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SUBJECTIVELY ANALYZED AT 20Z FROM NEAR
COLUMBUS NE...TO GOODLAND KS...WILL APPROACH QUICKLY
OVERNIGHT...THEN WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE IN THE MORNING. THE MAIN
EFFECT WILL BE A WIND SHIFT...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA WILL BUILD FROM THE UPPER
MIDWEST TO THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY/SATURDAY. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
WILL QUICKLY GO BELOW NORMAL...WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED.

LATER IN THE WEEKEND...A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. COLD AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS MOISTURE WITH THE SYSTEM
INCREASES ON SUNDAY. PUT A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW MIX...MAINLY IN THE
OZARKS...WITH RAIN FARTHER SOUTH. GIVEN DRY AIR IN PLACE INITIALLY
AND EVAPORATIVE COOLING...SHOULD HAVE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET WHERE
RAIN IS EXPECTED.

DATA IS SHOWING MOISTURE DECREASING FROM THE NORTH SUNDAY
NIGHT...AND THEN LINGERING OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES ON MONDAY.
KEPT A LIGHT RAIN/SNOW MIX IN THE OZARKS SUNDAY EVENING...AND THEN
DRYING OUT. HAVE RAIN GOING SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE STATE.

THE SYSTEM PROVIDING THE MOISTURE WILL DEPART MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY.
THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND...AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO FINISH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     27  45  27  51 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         40  64  34  61 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       29  46  28  53 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    38  57  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  34  52  31  54 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     39  60  34  57 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      38  60  31  59 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  27  45  27  52 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        28  44  28  49 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     36  53  32  55 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   31  53  30  57 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         28  46  27  51 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      34  49  31  52 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55 / LONG TERM...46


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