Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 261731 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1231 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...AND TO POST
SVR WATCH #359 FOR THE NRN AND NERN COUNTIES UNTIL 01Z SAT.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ONGOING AT THIS TIME ACROSS ALL LOCATIONS...THOUGH
THIS WILL CHANGE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS SHRA/TSRA
DEVELOPS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH
THE STATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. EXPECT MVFR OR LOWER
CONDITIONS UNDER ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...AND WITH THE POST
FRONTAL STRATUS SAT MORNING. IMPROVING CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN
AREA WIDE BY MIDDAY SAT AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE STATE.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

THE UPPER RIDGE IS BUILDING WESTWARD NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA.
AN UPPER TROUGH IS MOVING INTO THE EASTERN U.S. NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE WESTERN U.S.
THROUGH MONDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER
CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS ALONG A COLD FRONT. THIS
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTH ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY OVER NORTH ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND THEN WILL SPREAD SOUTH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE
MAIN THREAT. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE SOME LARGE HAIL.THERE IS
A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF ARKANSAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

AN AREA OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE FILTERING INTO ARKANSAS FROM
THE STORMS IN MISSOURI. THE CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HELP TO KEEP
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER TODAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 80S
TO MID 90S TODAY AND IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S SATURDAY BEHIND THE
FRONT. THE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NWLY FLOW ALOFT WL RMN IN PLACE ACRS THE REGION THRU THE PD THANKS
TO AN OVERALL AMPLIFIED UPPER AIR PATTERN IN PLACE ACRS THE NATION.
A WEAK FNTL BNDRY WL BE LINGERING OVR AR ON TUE...WITH A CONTD CHC
OF SHRA/TSRA. ANOTHER CDFNT WL DROP SEWD INTO THE STATE ON THU...
WITH SCTD CONVECTION AGAIN POSSIBLE. TEMPS WL RMN CLOSE TO SEASONAL
NORMS THRU THE PD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     89  66  83  63 /  70  70  10   0
CAMDEN AR         93  72  87  66 /  50  70  30  10
HARRISON AR       87  62  80  61 /  70  70  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    92  70  86  66 /  60  60  10   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  93  70  86  68 /  60  60  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     94  72  85  66 /  50  70  40  10
MOUNT IDA AR      91  69  85  63 /  60  60  10   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  87  64  81  61 /  70  70  10   0
NEWPORT AR        91  67  84  65 /  70  70  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     93  71  84  67 /  50  70  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   91  68  85  65 /  70  70  10   0
SEARCY AR         92  68  84  65 /  60  70  10   0
STUTTGART AR      93  70  84  68 /  60  60  20   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...62





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.