Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 032348
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
548 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

.AVIATION...04/00Z TAF CYCLE

SOME LINGERING STRATOCU WL PASS ACRS NRN AR EARLY THIS EVENING.
SFC WINDS WL CONT TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRES BLDS INTO THE
REGION. VFR CONDS WL PREVAIL THRU THE PD. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 239 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD.
GRADIENT WILL RELAX...WITH WINDS DIMINISHING TONIGHT. BY
FRIDAY...THE HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING
SLIGHTLY.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
BEGINNING THE LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE WILL BE AN UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE PLAINS...AND UPPER RIDGES OVER WEST AND EAST COASTS. THE
UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE TO THE EAST COAST SUNDAY AS A RIDGE MOVES
INTO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. ANOTHER TROUGH DIVES OUT OF
CANADA SUNDAY INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BY SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE BLOCKING RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEST COAST MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW OVER ARKANSAS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS TO BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH DRY
WEATHER. HOWEVER...SEVERAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWEST
FLOW DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD. UPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA SATURDAY AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA
WHICH WILL END IN THE EAST SATURDAY EVENING. SUNDAY WILL BE DRY BUT
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SMALL CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN TO THE
NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. DRY
WEATHER WILL RETURN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW. NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY...THEN MUCH COOLER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS...WITH ONLY SMALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES DURING THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE A CONCERN THE NEXT TWO DAYS...AS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS MAY SEE AFTERNOON
MINIMUMS IN THE 20TH PERCENTILE. THE ONE THING HELPING WILL BE THE
LACK OF WINDS. AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST TOWARD THE WEEKEND...
MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


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