969
FXUS64 KTSA 252348
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
648 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 130 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

   - Hot and humid conditions will continue into the weekend with
     heat indices of 95-105 F across the area.

   - Daily isolated to scattered showers and storms likely much of
     this week.

   - Storm coverage may increase late this weekend into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

Isolated afternoon storms may continue into the early evening with
most locations remaining dry. Warm overnight lows continue.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Wednesday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

The deep moist plume which currently extends through W TX will be
drawn eastward on Thursday with potential for a corridor of higher
precip coverage extending into parts of NE OK during the
afternoon. The general pattern remains in place through Saturday
with the moist axis focused along a weak frontal zone.
Temperatures will continue to trend near seasonal normals.

An uptick in shower and storm coverage is possible late in the
weekend into early next week as the upper ridge weakens and the
influence from a stronger wave passes to our north.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 648 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

Isolated to widely scattered convection waning across nwrn AR next
hour or two, as expected. Could still be a brief impact at nwrn AR
sites, but chances are very low. Very low potential for some light
fog across nwrn AR late tonight, especially in the river valley, but
potential also too low to mention in forecasts at this time.
Something to watch in future forecasts. Expect some cumulus to
develop mid/late morning Thursday all sites, with afternoon
convection again possible. Best chances appear to be in nern OK as
moist axis shifts slightly eastward from where it has been past
couple days. Potential still too low to mention in forecasts at this
time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  92  75  91 /  10  20  10  30
FSM   74  94  74  94 /   0  10   0  20
MLC   72  92  73  92 /  10  10   0  20
BVO   72  92  72  91 /  10  20  20  40
FYV   71  91  72  91 /   0  10   0  30
BYV   71  92  71  91 /   0  10   0  30
MKO   72  90  73  89 /   0  20   0  30
MIO   72  90  73  89 /  10  20  10  40
F10   71  90  72  89 /  10  20   0  30
HHW   71  90  72  91 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...69