Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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994
FXUS64 KTSA 182048
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
248 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The upper low in the lower Rockies will continue to be the main
player in the weather for eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas
for the next couple of days. Low cloud cover will persist
overnight and into tomorrow morning, with another round of fog
and possibly drizzle in store. Showers will increase this evening
and into the overnight across southeast Oklahoma and western
Arkansas in response to an approaching vort max passing overhead.
Some decrease in cloudiness can be expected during the afternoon
hours tomorrow, which will allow for much warmer temperatures
tomorrow in most spots. Even warmer weather will arrive for Friday
as the upper low moves into the mid and upper Mississippi Valley
and south to southwest winds dominate the low levels.

Another upper low will move through the Southern Plains region
this weekend. Showers and maybe some thunderstorms will be
possible as early as Saturday in the warm advection region ahead
of the low. Wraparound precipitation on the backside of the low
will occur, but temperatures do not look cold enough at this point
to support wintry precipitation.

Generally dry conditions with above normal temperatures will
prevail for at least the early part of next week, with approaching
storm systems taking a more northerly track. There is a nonzero
chance of showers near the Kansas and Missouri borders Monday
night and into Tuesday with one of these systems but will keep
things dry for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   45  62  44  66 /  10  10  10   0
FSM   47  62  47  68 /  40  10  10   0
MLC   46  63  46  67 /  20  10   0   0
BVO   42  60  41  64 /  10  10  10   0
FYV   45  59  45  65 /  40  20  10   0
BYV   44  57  45  64 /  50  20  10   0
MKO   45  62  45  66 /  20  10  10   0
MIO   45  60  44  64 /  20  10  10  10
F10   45  63  44  67 /  20   0   0   0
HHW   48  64  48  69 /  30  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....22



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