Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 192100
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
400 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers will continue this evening as an upper level
storm system moves across the area. Rain chances will begin to
taper off later tonight and Friday morning as this system moves
off to the east. A warming trend will begin Friday and continue
through the weekend, with temperatures warming back to near the
seasonal normals. Will keep the weekend dry for now as the
GFS/UKMET/ECMWF do not support the wet solution inidcated by the
NAM, but this will continue to be monitored.

Southwest upper flow will develop by early next week and persist
through the week. Warm and humid weather will prevail in our area,
with daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. A severe weather
risk will exist each day and night, but the most widespread severe
weather may hold off until the end of the week, just beyond the
range of this forecaxt.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   56  76  60  82 /  50  20   0  10
FSM   58  77  59  84 /  50  30   0  10
MLC   56  76  59  83 /  40  20   0  10
BVO   54  75  57  80 /  50  30  10  10
FYV   54  73  53  78 /  60  40   0  10
BYV   53  71  53  77 /  50  40   0  10
MKO   56  75  58  81 /  50  30   0  10
MIO   55  73  55  79 /  60  40   0  10
F10   55  75  59  81 /  40  20   0  10
HHW   58  79  61  84 /  30  10   0  10

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....05

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