Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
000
FXUS64 KTSA 180254
AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
954 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 954 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
Only minor changes to temperatures were made this evening to
match current trends. Otherwise, the current forecast is in good
shape. Temperatures have fallen well into the 40s across northern
portions of the forecast area under clear skies. While
radiational cooling effects may be tempered by light winds
tonight, temperatures will continue to fall areawide with a
period of near or below freezing temps expected generally along
and north of I-40 (and higher terrain of SE OK). A hard freeze is
most likely in far NE OK near the OK-KS border and in portions of
NW AR... especially for any locations that manage to calm for an
extended period of time. Clouds may also complicate the cooling
process, as areas of mid/high clouds persist across the region
this evening. However, generally expect skies to trend towards
mostly clear overnight. Either way, if you have a head start on
the garden or any outdoor plants this year, temperatures tonight/
tomorrow morning may be harmful to any unprotected vegetation and
precautionary actions should be taken.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
Clear skies and very dry air will be place tonight in wake of the
recent frontal passage. Wind speeds will, however, remain steady
most of the night somewhat limiting radiational effects. However,
a widespread light freeze is forecast with a hard freeze likely
across far NE OK into far NW AR.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Sunday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
Sfc high slowly passes across the region tomorrow through
tomorrow night with below normal high temperatures and another
likely freeze Monday night. Winds will begin to turn southerly and
increase late Monday night which will again limit ideal
radiational effects. However, western AR into far SE OK will have
areas which record a hard freeze.
Breezy and much warmer conditions on Tuesday with grassland fire
weather conditions a focus as moisture return is slow. Increasing
cloud cover and developing scattered showers expected Wednesday.
Rain chances with isolated storms increase Wednesday night
through Thursday as the weakening upper low tracks across the
Southern Plains.
A brief cool down on Thursday before above normal temperatures
return late in the week through next weekend. Shower and
thunderstorm chances are poised to increase at some point over the
weekend as timing of the next upper wave becomes more certain.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
VFR conditions will prevail thru the period with passing mid and
high cloud. North to northwest winds will decrease some after
sunset, then pick back up again by mid-morning on Monday with
gusts to near 20 kts.
Lacy
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 30 53 33 74 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 35 54 31 69 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 35 55 31 71 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 26 52 29 76 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 26 49 27 68 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 27 47 29 67 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 31 52 30 70 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 26 48 29 71 / 0 0 0 0
F10 32 53 32 72 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 37 56 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...43
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...30