Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 221727
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1227 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE VALID PERIOD
AT ALL AREA TAF SITES.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 652 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM
VFR...P6SM SKC...THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COOLER/DRIER AIR-MASS WORKING INTO THE AREA BEHIND COLD FRONT THIS
MORNING JUST IN TIME FOR THE START OF FALL WHICH OFFICIALLY
BEGINS THIS EVENING. THE MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN
US. AS UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS...COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS NORTH AND WEST OF TULSA
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HOWEVER WILL
LIKELY REMAIN LIMITED AT BEST.

UPPER LEVEL BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPS BY LATE WEEK AS UPPER LOW
IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS DRIFTS SOUTH AND BRIEFLY BECOMES CUTOFF OVER
THE REGION. INCREASING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE MAINLY THE ONLY
THING EXPECTED WITH AFOREMENTIONED FEATURE AS RELATIVELY DRY AIR
REMAINS IN PLACE. OTHERWISE...SLOW WARMING TREND EXPECTED INTO THE
WEEKEND...INCLUDING A SLOW INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AS WINDS
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...10






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