Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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343
FXUS64 KTSA 230855
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
355 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will push south across the area today, while an upper
low will move south from Minnesota into northeast Arkansas by late
Wednesday. The combination of these two systems will result in
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms today, with the
greatest precipitation coverage across the southern and eastern
part of the forecast area. A few showers may develop in northwest
Arkansas Wednesday due to the cold air aloft associated with the
nearby upper low. Temperatures will remain on the cool side the
next couple days.

A quick return to more typical late May warmth and humidity will
take place Thursday and Friday. Shower and thunderstorm chances
will be on the increase from late Friday into Saturday night as a
series of upper level disturbances traverse the area, and a cold
front sags slowly south through eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. Severe storms and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible during this time frame.

Dry weather with near seasonable temperatures will prevail for the
latter half of the Holiday weekend, with additional storm chances
holding off until closer to the middle part of next week.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  48  71  48 /  20  10  10   0
FSM   74  50  70  48 /  40  20  10   0
MLC   71  48  72  47 /  40  10   0   0
BVO   70  45  70  43 /  20  10  10   0
FYV   68  45  65  41 /  30  20  20   0
BYV   68  46  64  43 /  40  20  20   0
MKO   70  48  70  46 /  30  10  10   0
MIO   69  46  67  44 /  20  20  10   0
F10   70  48  71  48 /  30  10  10   0
HHW   74  51  74  49 /  40  30   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....05

PLATE



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