Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 092326

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
526 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

Clear skies and light winds will prevail through tonight.  A smoke
plume from a fire in Osage County is near KTUL.  As the winds
weaken further and humidities rise, the plume will cease to be
a factor.

No change to the pattern is expected Sunday.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 325 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017/

At least a limited fire danger threat expected again on Sunday
with fire weather concerns persisting through much of next week
as a dry air-mass remains in place with no significant chance for
rainfall. Warming trend will continue on Sunday as highs rebound
back into the lower 60s over much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas with westerly winds. Next surge of cooler air will move
through on Monday with gusty northwest winds developing behind the
front Monday afternoon across northeast Oklahoma. Ahead of the
front temperatures will warm into the upper 60s to around 70 south
of I-40.

Cooler weather expected behind the front on Tuesday as surface high
pressure builds into central Texas. Warmer conditions forecast on
Wednesday before another weak front moves through dropping highs
back to around normal on Thursday. GFS more aggressive with low
level moisture return into next weekend with scattered showers
developing on Saturday with next front. ECMWF more progressive
with front keeping better rain chances well south of the area. For
now, will carry slight chance pops across southeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas for Saturday. Regardless, any rainfall that
occurs will likely remain light and drought conditions will likely
continue to worsen over the next couple of weeks.




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