Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 150902
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
402 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...

AFTER WATCHING A BEAUTIFUL SPECTACLE OCCUR IN THE NIGHT SKY...IT`S
NOW TIME TO TALK WEATHER DOWN HERE ON PLANET EARTH. A BEAUTIFUL
SPRING DAY IS IN STORE WITH NOT MUCH WIND AND HIGHS IN THE 60S.
THERE WILL BE MUCH MORE WIND ON WEDNESDAY AND HIGHS CLIMB A BIT
MORE...RAISING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL
SWEEP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY. THE TRUE WARM SECTOR
NEVER MAKES MUCH NORTHWARD PROGRESS...STAYING WELL SOUTH DOWN IN
TX. INSTABILITY WILL BE LACKING AS A RESULT AND HAVE BACKED DOWN
THUNDER PROBS. HOWEVER...RAIN CHANCES LOOK GOOD AS LIFT INTERACTS
WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY. GOING FORECAST POPS LOOKED GOOD WITH THE
TIMING AND TRENDS. ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS LATE IN THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE SURFACE PATTERN LOOKS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS SYSTEM...WITH RIDGING MAINTAINED DOWN NEAR THE GULF
COAST. SO NOT TOO IMPRESSED REGARDING SEVERE CHANCES WITH EITHER
SYSTEM REALLY...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. TEMPS WILL WARM
BACK INTO THE 70S NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LACY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   63  42  67  46 /   0   0  10  10
FSM   61  38  66  43 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   62  42  66  45 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   63  39  68  45 /   0   0  10  10
FYV   58  34  61  42 /   0   0  10  10
BYV   56  36  62  40 /   0   0  10  10
MKO   61  39  66  45 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   60  38  66  43 /   0   0  10  10
F10   62  41  65  46 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   62  39  66  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM TUESDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM TUESDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

$$

LONG TERM....30





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