Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 180851
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
251 AM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Strong cold front, currently moving into western Osage county,
will sweep through the area today with scattered showers across
NE OK/NW AR. Gusty northwest winds of 40 to 45 mph will be likely
behind the front, especially across northeast Oklahoma. The drier
air-mass, coupled with the strong winds, will create an elevated
fire danger threat this afternoon with minimum RH values around 40
percent across portions of eastern Oklahoma.

Winds will begin to drop off this evening into the overnight hours
as surface pressure builds over the area by Sunday morning. Surface
high will quickly shift east Sunday night with gusty southwest winds
returning. With limited moisture return, an elevated fire danger threat
will once again develop Monday afternoon.

Another cold front will move through on Tuesday, but will likely
remain dry. Brief cool down expected on Wednesday before a slow
warming trend for the latter half of work week. Temperatures are
expected to be back to near or slightly above normal by Friday.
Just beyond the extended forecast period, another front expected
around Saturday, unfortunately precipitation is also expected to
remain limited with system.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   56  33  58  39 /  40   0   0   0
FSM   64  37  59  34 /  30   0   0   0
MLC   60  35  59  35 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   57  30  58  31 /  40   0   0   0
FYV   59  32  53  29 /  40   0   0   0
BYV   61  35  52  33 /  40   0   0   0
MKO   59  34  57  34 /  30   0   0   0
MIO   56  32  55  34 /  40   0   0   0
F10   57  35  58  36 /  10   0   0   0
HHW   69  35  59  34 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Wind Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 5 PM CST this afternoon
 for Okays-053>076.

AR...Wind Advisory from 6 AM this morning to 5 PM CST this afternoon
     for Arz001-002-010-011-019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....12



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