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000
FXUS64 KTSA 091433
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
933 AM CDT SUN MAR 9 2014

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE REMOVED PATCHY FOG WORDING FROM FORECAST PRODUCTS. HAVE ALSO
DELAYED DISSIPATION OF LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND ALSO
LOWERED FORECAST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WITHIN THAT AREA AS A
RESULT. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 634 AM CDT SUN MAR 9 2014/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
SITES KTUL KRVS KBVO VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SITES KMLC KXNA KFYV KFSM MVFR CIGS/VSBY BECOMING VFR
BETWEEN 17Z-21Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT SUN MAR 9 2014/

DISCUSSION...
LOCALLY DENSE FOG ONGOING ACROSS FAR NE OK WILL DIMINISH BY MID
MORNING...WHILE LOW CLOUDS SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS SE
OK/WESTERN AR. RESULT WILL BE A NOTICEABLE IMPROVEMENT IN WEATHER
CONDITIONS COMPARED TO SATURDAY. DATA CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MUCH
WARMER TEMPS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
INCREASING ON MONDAY ESPECIALLY WITH ANY LOCALLY HIGHER WIND
SPEEDS.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND THERE COULD BE A ZONE OF COMPRESSIONAL WARMING
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHERE TEMPS WARM WELL ABOVE FORECAST VALUES.
POST FRONTAL NORTHERLY WINDS LOOK TO BE STRONG WITH A PERIOD OF
WIND ADVISORY GUSTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL BRING SHARPLY COOLER TEMPS
INTO THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY. PRECIP CHANCES CONTINUE TO LOOK
HIGHEST FOR FAR NE OK / NW AR ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. FOR NOW KEPT THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST...HOWEVER THERE
MAY BE A NARROW ZONE OF SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO WARRANT A
MENTION IN LATER FORECASTS.

A QUICK RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IS EXPECTED FOR LATE WEEK
WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED PRECIP CHANCES ARRIVING
LATE NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06