Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KTSA 172016
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
316 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Previous convection and debris cloud cover has limited the
heat that was expected today. That said...have opted to cancel
the heat advisory...and convert the heat warning to a heat
advisory with an expiration time of 9pm. Focus then turns to the
cold front which will approach this evening and overnight. Best
storm chances will be across northeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas tonight. Pops on Sunday may be a little tricky depending
on how the evolution of tonights convection impacts boundary
placement for tomorrow. Will continue to focus highest pops across
SE OK tomorrow afternoon...however its entirely possible the
effective boundary may be south of the area before peak heating.

Timing aside...a dose of cool surface high pressure will settle
over the region for the beginning of the week and will push rain
chance further south. Atypically cool overnight temperatures will
highlight the first few nights of next week...with temperatures
across the board gradually warming in time. Rain/thunder chances
will likely remain quite low this upcoming week as the overall
pattern doesnt support overnight MCS activity. While a surface
boundary may approach late in the forecast period...will keep the
extended dry for now. Stayed close to guidance temperatures for
most periods.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  82  65  87 /  50  40  10   0
FSM   75  83  66  88 /  20  50  20   0
MLC   75  83  64  88 /  10  50  20  10
BVO   68  82  58  86 /  60  30  10   0
FYV   70  80  59  83 /  40  50  10   0
BYV   69  80  60  82 /  60  40  10   0
MKO   72  81  63  88 /  30  40  10   0
MIO   69  82  59  85 /  60  30   0   0
F10   73  81  64  88 /  20  40  10  10
HHW   76  88  68  89 /  10  50  40  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ054>057-059>061-
     064>066.

AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....23



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.