Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
FXUS64 KTSA 041543
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
943 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016
With surface high pressure sitting just south of the region, quiet
weather, featuring near normal high temperatures, light westerly
winds, and sunny skies, will prevail through the day. Morning
soundings support the going forecast high temperatures and other
weather elements are on track. No update planned this morning.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 449 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/
The 12Z TAF discussion is included below...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
High pressure at the surface will bring VFR conditions thru the
TAF period to all sites. No impacts to aviation are expected.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016/
High pressure at the surface over the southern plains this morning
has resulted in a clear and cold night. As the high shifts south
and a weak upper wave passes to the north...winds will pick up
some out of the west this afternoon with the resultant downslope
flow leading to temps several degrees warmer for highs today.
Winds will then increase out of the south of Friday ahead of an
approaching wave in NW flow aloft with a few degrees of
additional warming. Moisture will remain limited with this wave
but perhaps just enough lift to result in a few areas of very
light rain. At this point thermal profiles look to preclude much
chance of winter weather. Weak front pushes through Friday night
and knocks a few degrees off temps for Saturday...but above normal
through the weekend.
Pattern amplifies early next week with potential for a more
significant cold front...likely a dry one...bringing a brief
return to below normal temps.