Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 271443
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
943 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...

COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY IN THE WAKE OF
YESTERDAYS COOL FRONT. EXCEPT FOR A FEW TWEAKS TO THE SKY COVER TO
ACCOUNT FOR LOW CLOUDS IN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...THE GOING FORECAST HAS THINGS WELL IN HAND.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
FOR THE 12Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES
THROUGHOUT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MILDER/LESS HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY BEHIND COLD FRONT...
WHICH HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER THIS MORNING. WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH LIGHT WINDS/MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AS A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES TRAVERSE THE AREA.  WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE AS BOUNDARY LIKELY STALLS OVER THE AREA.

STRONGER UPPER WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AROUND
THIS TIME. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER
OF NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER DISTURBANCE POSSIBLE AROUND THE
FRIDAY/SATURDAY TIME FRAME. TIMING OF THESE SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE REFINED IN THE COMING DAYS AS MCS EVOLUTION BECOMES MORE
CERTAIN.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....07



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