Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 182056
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
256 PM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Afternoon temps have obviously been hindered by low cloud
cover...although some late partial clearing has allowed readings
to jump into the upper 60s across parts of northeast OK/northwest
AR. We`ll likely see some low cloud redevelop later
tonight...along with some areas of fog.

The upper ridge axis slides east by Sunday...with deep meridional
flow developing through the southern Plains. Impressive moisture
transport and low-level warm air advection will result in
increasing areas of showers/few storms Sunday evening into early
Monday...with the activity tapering off late Monday as the trof
axis swings through. Better chances of thunder/heavy rainfall
expected to remain across parts of southeast OK.

The well above normal temps will continue for much of next
week...with highs remaining well into the 70s for most areas
through Thursday. This is ahead of the next cold front that should
pass through Thursday night into Friday...knocking temps back
closer to seasonal norms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   51  73  60  72 /  10  20  80  30
FSM   50  75  60  67 /  10  10  70  80
MLC   53  72  60  70 /  10  20  80  50
BVO   45  72  57  74 /  10  20  80  20
FYV   44  72  58  65 /  10  10  70  80
BYV   47  70  58  66 /  10  10  60  80
MKO   50  72  60  69 /  10  20  80  50
MIO   46  74  59  69 /  10  10  60  50
F10   51  71  60  70 /  10  20  80  30
HHW   54  72  61  68 /  10  20  80  70

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....18



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