Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 212153
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
BEGINNING TO FEEL LIKE SEATTLE IN WINTER.  METEOROLOGIST
TRUSTING SANTA FOR SLEIGH-LOAD OF SUNSHINE FOR CHRISTMAS.

CLOUDS-PATCHY DRIZZLE AGAIN ON TAP TONIGHT.  HAVE RAISED
SUPERBLEND MIN TEMP PLUS FIVE LAST COUPLE NIGHTS...STILL
COMING OUT ON THE LOW SIDE.  EXPECT LITTLE DROP IN TEMPS
TONIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY SURFACE WIND.

WAVE NOW CENTERED  OVER SOUTHWEST MO SHOWN WELL BY WATER
VAPOR IMAGE...PULLING AWAY OVERNIGHT.  NEXT WAVE TO TAKE
SHAPE/CONSOLIDATE OVER CENTRAL PLAINS MONDAY. COOL FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THAT WAVE  PUSHING ACROSS EASTERN OK AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY AFTERNOON / NIGHT. CHANCE POPS
MAINLY NORTH AND EAST.  AS UPPER H500 FEATURE MOVES FROM
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES LATE TUESDAY
TUESDAY NIGHT... TAIL END OF THE ELONGATED TROUGH SWEEPS
THROUGH OUR REGION. AMPLE COLD AIR BEHIND THAT TROUGH TO
RESULT IN RISK OF LIGHT SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD BE LIMITED TO A DUSTING FOR FAR
NORTHEAST OK...AND MAYBE A DUSTING TO AS MUCH AS AN INCH
OR SO OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SANTA BRINGS SUNSHINE FOR CHRISTMAS AND TEMPERATURES WELL
INTO THE 50S. HOWEVER NEXT FRONT ARRIVES CHRISTMAS NIGHT.
WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.  GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   47  55  36  46 /  20  20  10  10
FSM   45  55  41  48 /  20  30  20  20
MLC   47  57  39  49 /  20  20  10  10
BVO   46  54  33  45 /  30  30  10  10
FYV   43  52  36  46 /  20  40  20  20
BYV   43  51  37  46 /  20  40  20  20
MKO   45  54  36  47 /  20  20  10  10
MIO   44  52  34  44 /  30  30  10  10
F10   45  56  37  47 /  20  10  10  10
HHW   45  59  43  50 /  20  20  20  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....21





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