Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 222355

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
655 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

Issued at 655 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

Cloud cover will increase overnight into early Thanksgiving
morning as a weak system passes through the region. Low
temperatures overnight will range from the middle to upper 20s.
The clouds move east with more sunshine by Thanksgiving afternoon,
along with highs into the lower 40s. with but clouds are expected
to diminish again for Thanksgiving afternoon as this system
pushes eastward. Outside of a small chance of light rain Friday
night, the holiday weekend and into the first part of the work
week will be dry.


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 306 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

A large ridge of high pressure extended into the region this
afternoon. Subsidence associated with this system will help skies
clear temporarily over the forecast area tonight. However, a layer
of middle clouds ahead of the next system is expected to spread
across the skies overnight. Low temperatures tonight may occur
before midnight at 25 or 26 degrees ahead of the advancing cloud
layer. Dry weather will persist Thursday as temperatures start to
rebound with highs near 40.


.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 306 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

A generally mild and dry pattern is ahead after Thanksgiving
through the middle of next week. Only a few small chances for
rain are in the forecast including Friday night and then Tuesday
night into Wednesday as the 3 to 4 day cycle of cold front
passages continues. These chances of rain correspond to the timing
of the fronts. There is considerable uncertainty with the timing
of the front during the middle of next week; a slower solution
would support a mild Wednesday with highs in the 50s.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 640 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

Weak mid level focused system moving through northern Indiana
overnight void of any deep moisture. With moisture limited to mid
levels, along with crossover temperatures in the lower 20s will
prevent sunrise br formation. VFR through the forecast period with
attention to wind direction, initially light but not variable in
direction, increasing to around 10 knots, perhaps a few higher
gusts to middle/upper teens at times though lower confidence
precludes gusts inclusion at this time.


LM...Gale Watch from Friday morning through Friday evening for LMZ043-



SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper

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