Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 172046

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
246 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 229 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

Mild and dry continues for the short term.

A slightly cooler day is expected Saturday as cold air advection
moves in briefly later tonight behind a departing wave. Winds will
also shift from the favored westerly direction to a slightly
cooler and more moist easterly direction. Overall this should do
little more than bring increased cloud cover and slightly cooler
temperatures to the region Saturday.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 229 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

The long term still appears mild. There are a few decent chances
for precipitation.

The first good chance arrives Sunday night into Monday. Some light
freezing rain is possible across northern North Dakota early
Monday morning with temperatures right near or slightly below
freezing. The rest of North Dakota looks to see rain beginning
Sunday night into Monday. This will be a quick moving system, so
only minor precipitation amounts are expected.

Another fast moving may move across northern North Dakota
Wednesday. This could bring some light rain/snow to far northern

Models continue to indicate a much more substantial storm by the
end of the week. The latest runs indicate a more southward trend
and keep most of North Dakota dry, but this far out a lot can


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 229 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

VFR at all TAF sites through the TAF period.




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