Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 150928

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
428 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 342 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Current surface analysis places low over northern Saskatchewan,
with trough dipping down into the northern plains. High remains
over the central Rockies into the Great Basin. Upper level
analysis places ridge over the Pacific northwest into British
Columbia, with trough over the midwest into the central plains.
Modest short wave moving through northwest flow is now nudging
into our area, bringing some cloud cover to the area and possibly
a few flakes or sprinkles to the far northwestern part of the

For today, aforementioned surface trough/boundary and short wave
will scoot off to the east, possibly resulting in some very light
snow or rain over northern portions of the area this morning.
Skies will clear in the afternoon, but breezy conditions are
expected to develop behind the aforementioned system. Near
average temperatures expected. Quiet weather tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 342 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Upper ridge over the western United States meanders towards the
east bringing dry conditions and a warming trend to start the
week with above average temperatures. A short wave passes mainly
to the north on Wednesday as a cool front shifts through. Dry
conditions are expected to remain, though cooler but still above
average temperatures are expected behind the front. Temperatures
again rebound to end the work week. Upper flow shifts southwest
for the end of the week bringing precipitation chances to
portions of the area going into the weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

A cold front will sweep from northwest to southeast today, resulting
in a period of sct/bkn low/mid level clouds (5kft to 10kft) along
and just behind the front. Trend toward SKC commences thereafter.
West to northwest winds 15kt to 25kt can be expected from mid
morning through sunset.




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