Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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865
FXUS63 KDDC 240526
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1126 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 301 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Above normal temperatures are expected through tomorrow with dry
conditions. Lows tonight will generally be in the 30s with highs
tomorrow ranging from the low 40s across west central Kansas to
around 60 degrees across south central Kansas. Winds will
generally be from a southerly direction overnight shifting to the
southwest by sunrise tomorrow morning. Winds then shift to the
northwest tomorrow as a cold front slides through the CWA. Breezy
conditions and low RH are anticipated along the KS/OK border
tomorrow afternoon increasing fire danger. No precipitation is
expected in the forecast area through tomorrow. However, some
light showers are expected across northern Kansas outside of the
DDC CWA.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 301 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

A dry weather pattern continues through the rest of the week with
winds generally from the west to northwest. This is due to a ridge
of high pressure at the surface extending from the Intermountain
West to the southern Plains. Below normal temperatures are also
expected through the end of the week with highs generally in the
40s and lows in the low to mid 20s. An exception to this will be
Wednesday as well as Wednesday and Thursday night. Upper 30s will
be possible as highs across west central Kansas with lows dipping
into the upper teens for lows Wednesday and Thursday nights.
Alternative forecasts do not show much difference from the current
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1122 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

A fairly strong low pressure system will be moving across northern
Kansas on Tuesday. There is a low probability of IFR/MVFR ceiling
at HYS as some moisture wraps around the west side of the low,
however the greatest chance of poor flight category (IFR/LIFR)
is north of HYS, so for this TAF issuance, we will be keeping HYS
at VFR throughout the period. Wind shift from south to northwest
will gradually occur during the day Tuesday, with speeds varying
from 15 to 20 knots sustained, including some higher gusts at or
above 25 knots, especially in the afternoon with the northwest
winds behind the cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  38  56  25  40 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  35  51  24  39 /  10  10   0   0
EHA  37  52  24  40 /   0  10  10   0
LBL  37  57  26  42 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  34  48  26  36 /  10  10  10   0
P28  36  61  29  42 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Umscheid



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