Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KDDC 191635
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1135 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

...Updated Short Term...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Near record heat this afternoon, on the last full day of "winter".
Expecting low to mid 90s at most locales for maximum temperatures.
Some record highs for today are very tough to beat (Dodge City,
Medicine Lodge 98 set in 1907), but Garden City`s record of 93 set
in 1972 is in jeopardy.

Tonight...continued unseasonably mild. Lows Monday morning from
the mid 40s to the mid 50s (normal is low to mid 30s). A very weak
frontal boundary slides through SW KS overnight, with a northerly
wind shift by 7 am Monday. Dewpoints will remain elevated near
50 across the SE zones, and with potential for moisture to pool
along the boundary, included a mention of areas of fog across the
SE zones for several hours Monday morning.

Monday...Weak cool advection on NE winds of 10-20 mph will shave
temperatures down several degrees, but certainly still way above
normal. Expecting a range of mid 70s near Hays to upper 80s along
the Oklahoma border.


.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 254 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Not much has changed with respect to the extended forecast. The GFS
and  ECMWF are still fairly well in agreement with a couple of
opportunities for wetting rains. The first is late Tuesday/Tuesday
night, post cold frontal, with a weak wave moving along or behind
the advancing cold front. The next setup will be far more complex
with convection in the picture, possibly with a severe risk (or
dry slotted altogether), centered around the late Thursday-
Thursday night timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 607 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through late this
evening. Light southeasterly winds early this morning will become
more south to southwesterly through early this afternoon while
increasing 10 to 20kt as a lee side trough of low pressure across
eastern Colorado begins to edge slowly eastward into extreme
western Kansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  94  48  83  43 /   0   0   0  10
GCK  93  46  83  42 /   0   0   0  10
EHA  90  51  84  45 /   0   0   0  10
LBL  94  44  87  44 /   0   0   0  10
HYS  88  47  74  40 /   0   0   0  20
P28  93  53  85  49 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Turner
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...JJohnson



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.