Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 300500
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1200 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...Updated aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH Sunday)
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

Mostly clear skies and dry conditions are expected to continue
tonight into tomorrow with some elevated smoke from wildfires
across the Pacific Northwest. Winds become light and variable
overnight as the ridge axis slides through the area. Southerly
winds return by sunrise tomorrow as lee troughing develops across
eastern Colorado. As for temperatures, lows overnight look to fall
to around 60 degrees with highs tomorrow reaching into the lower
90s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday NIGHT THROUGH Saturday)
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

A dry pattern will continue through Monday as a ridge of high
pressure sits over the Southern Rockies and Central Plains. A few
shortwaves will move through the northwest United States during
this period but should not affect western Kansas. These shortwaves
will allow lee troughing to continue across eastern Colorado
leading to southerly winds across the area. The atmosphere will
remain dry with mostly clear skies expected through Monday. An
upper level shortwave may move through the central Rockies Monday
night into Tuesday which could increase cloudiness across portions
of the CWA with a slight chance of thunderstorms across west
central and central Kansas. Otherwise dry conditions will continue
through Thursday. A better chance of thunderstorms is possible
late week into this weekend as models suggest a shortwave moving
closer to the area. However, confidence is low that this will
occur. As for temperatures, highs look to reach into the mid 90s
Monday and Tuesday with lows generally in the upper 60s to lower
70s. Highs then are expected to only reach into the lower 90s for
the remainder of the week with lows continuing to bottom out in
the upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z Sunday NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

Increasing concern for br and reduced visibilities for the morning.
MVFR conditions possible at KDDC and KHYS may decrease as low as IFR.
KGCK should remain at VFR throughout. Improvement back to VFR for the
two terminals is expected around 15Z. Winds will be light SE/S 5-15
kt.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  59  91  64  96 /   0   0   0  10
GCK  58  92  63  97 /   0   0   0  10
EHA  60  93  65  96 /   0   0   0  10
LBL  59  93  64  98 /   0   0   0  10
HYS  58  91  64  97 /   0   0   0  10
P28  60  92  66  96 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Sugden



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