Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 020502
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1102 PM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 925 PM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

WV imagery indicates a zonal flow aloft prevailing across the
Western High Plains. Meanwhile, an upper level trough of low
pressure is deepening as it drops southward across the Great
Basin. Near the surface, a weak area of high pressure extends
from the high plains of eastern Montana southward into the high
plains of eastern Wyoming and western Nebraska.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 111 PM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

Quiet weather is expected during the short term period. Winds will continue
to remain light and variable this afternoon. For tomorrow, winds will
eventually become out of the east, but still fairly light in magnitude.
A few high clouds will drift by, otherwise a dry forecast is expected
tonight into tomorrow morning. Lows will range from the teens northwest
to the 20s southeast. Highs tomorrow are expected to be in the 40s and
50s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 111 PM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

A chance of rain and snow exists Friday night into Saturday morning.
An upper level trof will remain well south of the forecast district,
however, there might be enough warm air advection and isentropic lift
for precipitation activity. This is expected mainly for the south. Thermo
profiles are marginal for snow, and if there is accumulation, it will
be very light. The next shot at precipitation comes next week as another
trof moves through. This trof is progged to be closer to the forecast
district, so higher precipitation chances are warranted. The fb pops
look fine for now. Additional snow accumulation is possible with this
second system, although how much is not known at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1100 PM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through early Friday
evening. Light and variable winds will persist across western Kansas
through Friday evening as surface high pressure remains settled
across the Northern Rockies southeastward into the high plains of
eastern Wyoming and western Nebraska.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  23  48  28  40 /   0  10  50  30
GCK  20  46  27  41 /   0   0  30  20
EHA  22  44  24  40 /   0  20  40  30
LBL  22  48  28  40 /   0  20  50  30
HYS  22  47  28  41 /   0   0  20  20
P28  27  51  34  44 /   0  10  50  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...JJohnson
SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...JJohnson


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