Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 290828
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
328 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

...UPDATED FOR LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 154 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

A QUIET WEATHER PERIOD IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES WITH HIGH PRESSURE BEING THE MAIN
FEATURE AT THE SURFACE. A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH EASTERN COLORADO THIS EVENING BUT WITH THE LACK OF
MOISTURE ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUDS. OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. WINDS LOOK TO START OUT FROM
THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY
DIRECTION BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS THEN SHIFT TO MORE OF A
SOUTHERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE
AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ONCE AGAIN WITH HIGHS REACHING
INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 326 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

VERY WARM HIGH TEMPS CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS FROM 98 TO AROUND 100
IS FORECAST. HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY APPROACH 102 IN THE MEDICINE
LODGE AREA. THE HEAT CAUSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN REGION THAT WILL BEGIN TO BREAKDOWN ON WEDNESDAY WITH SEVERAL
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY, THEN MORE
CHANCES WITH UPPER LEVEL WAVES INTO FRIDAY. WPC GUIDANCE WAS USED BY
SOME NEIGHBORS RATHER THAN SUPERBLEND FOR STORM CHANCES INTO THE 4TH
OF JULY WEEKEND. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND BLENDED WITH LESSER CHANCES
WITH NEIGHBORS. HIGHS THEN COOL BACK TO THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90
THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. LOWS WILL BE MILD AND IN THE LOWER 70S
WEDNESDAY MORNING, THEN RANGE FROM 65 TO 70 INTO THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM A NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION THIS
MORNING SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  94  66  97  73 /   0   0   0  10
GCK  95  65  98  72 /  10   0   0  10
EHA  93  65  97  73 /  10  10   0  10
LBL  95  66  97  73 /  10   0   0   0
HYS  95  64 100  72 /   0  10  10  10
P28  97  67 100  75 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HOVORKA_42
LONG TERM...KRUSE
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42



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