Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 232106

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
406 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

After starting out quite breezy this morning with scattered showers
redeveloping and moving through, it has turned into a fairly
pleasant day with highs topping out in the 70s. Diurnally driven
cumulus have moved into the area this afternoon associated with
northwesterly flow aloft advecting a cooler airmass into the region.
The breezy northwest winds should gradually diminish this evening
and skies will begin to clear out. With high pressure and a drier
atmosphere in place, temps tonight will be quite cool overnight
dropping to the mid to upper 40s for areas north of I-80 and low
50s south.

The main forecast challenge tomorrow is how much cloud cover moving
in from the west will impact temperatures. Currently have highs in
the low to mid 70s in the west central portions of Nebraska and the
upper 70s in Kansas and the northeastern zones in Nebraska. This
region of cooler temps may be altered somewhat as confidence
increases on where the cloud layer will set up. Heading into the
evening hours some low pops have been included for mainly north
central Kansas to account for a few light showers that could

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

Northwest flow continues into Sunday and Monday with below normal
temps in the upper 70s to low 80s expected. Scattered rain showers
are possible for much of the area on Sunday associated with a region
of mid-level convergence aloft as a weak wave drifts around the
southern edge of the upper level trough. Not expecting widespread
accumulation, but some areas could see some precip, especially our
southwestern zones.

The ridge begins to flatten out on Tuesday with southerly flow
returning to the central plains. Highs will reach back into the 80s
and low 90s by Thursday. Periodic thunderstorm chances are possible
as a series of shortwaves push off the Rockies. Long term models
solutions are quite different as we reach the latter part of the
week so confidence remains low on narrowing down specific
thunderstorm chances.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Saturday)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Winds continue to
be quite breezy out of the north and northwest early this
afternoon gusting at times to 20-25kts. They should gradually
become lighter heading into the evening hours. Any lingering light
showers from this morning have moved off to the southeast and dry
conditions are expected. A layer of mid to high level clouds
continues to drift off to the east but is showing signs that it is
dissipating. Further to the north a cu field has developed. As
this continues to expand southward scattered cu near 5000ft will
be possible later this afternoon before burning off this evening.




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