Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
FXUS63 KGID 011957
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

RETURNS ARE FINALLY GONE FROM THE RADAR THIS AFTERNOON AND SATELLITE
SHOWS THE EDGE OF THE CLOUDS ARE NOT TO FAR FROM THE WESTERN PORTION
OF THE FORECAST AREA. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SURFACE LOW ALREADY
INTO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE LOW HAS MOVED WELL EAST
OF THE FORECAST AREA. AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE EAST...THE WEST
OR NORTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL GRADUALLY SEE SOME
CLEARING THIS EVENING. WITH THE CLEARING AND LIGHT WINDS
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF. THE DEW POINTS THIS AFTERNOON ARE STILL
AROUND 40 BUT TO THE NORTHWEST THE DEW POINTS ARE IN THE MID 30S AND
EVEN THE LOWER 30S. THERE IS A LITTLE QUESTION ABOUT THE AMOUNT OF
CLEARING AND HOW MUCH THE TEMPERATURES WILL DROP. NOW THAT WE ARE AT
THE FIRST OF MAY...WE NEED TO BE CONCERNED FOR FROST SINCE WE ARE
NOW INTO THE GROWING SEASON. AT THIS POINT HAVE A FEW LOCATIONS THAT
HAVE SOME LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S. WILL HOLD OFF ON A FROST
ADVISORY AT THIS TIME AND SEE JUST HOW FAST WE CLEAR OUT AND HOW
MUCH OF THE DRIER AIR FROM THE NORTHWEST WORKS INTO THE AREA.

ON MONDAY THE CLOUDS SHOULD START TO CLEAR OUT OF THE AREA. WITH THE
SUNSHINE WILL COME SOME WARMER TEMPERATURES. WE STILL WILL NOT BE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...BUT SHOULD REACH AROUND 10 DEGREES
WARMER THAN TODAY. AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...THE
WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

THE FINAL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN IMPACTING US
FOR THE WEEKEND WILL ROTATE SOUTHWARD IMPACTING THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH
AND BY TUESDAY MORNING SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO SCATTER WITH SUBSIDENCE
BEHIND THE WAVE. THE CLEARING AND LIGHT WINDS WILL BRING NEAR NORMAL
HIGHS FOR TUESDAY. NORMAL HIGHS FOR THE BEGINNING OF MAY ARE IN THE
UPPER 60S.

UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE UNTIL MID-WEEK WHEN THE
RIDGE WILL SLOWLY IMPINGE ON THE AREA FROM THE WEST. SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY AS LEE TROUGHING DEVELOPS. HIGHS
WILL STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND EARLY
WEEKEND. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY...BUT CONFIDENCE ON HOW THE SYSTEM WILL EVOLVE IS
RELATIVELY LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1209 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

THERE COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES FOR A SHORT TIME THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN CLOUDS SHOULD START TO CLEAR OUT. THERE HAVE BEEN
A FEW BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST ALREADY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AND BE FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
INTO MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...BILLINGS WRIGHT
AVIATION...JCB


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