942
FXUS63 KICT 111128
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
628 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widely scattered showers and storms are possible this afternoon
  and tonight with rain chances continuing through much of next week.

- Warm again today with a brief cooldown this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 234 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

A shortwave trough moving over the Central Plains today will drive a
frontal boundary southward into to the area. This boundary may become
a focus for showers and storms this afternoon and tonight within a
zone of low level mass convergence within the trough axis. A
relatively deeply mixed pbl and associated inverted-v progged
soundings would support strong/damaging winds with any storms that
develop. The window for sfc-based storms may be relatively short-
lived with the cap progged to weaken between 22Z-02Z. Some storms
could linger into the overnight hours but pops were lowered as storm
coverage is expected to be isolated or widely scattered.

A mid/upper trough axis remains situated over the central CONUS on
Sat before translating eastward on Sunday. This is expected to allow
the sfc frontal boundary to meander over the Central and perhaps
Southern Plains through the period. The boundary will likely become
a focus for additional shower and thunderstorm activity, especially
across southern KS through the weekend. Below normal temperatures
will prevail on Sat but we may see some recovery as we move into
Sunday with highs in 80s/around 90.

Mon-Thu...We continue to see a weakness in the mid/upper ridge over
the Central CONUS early in the week keeping a chance of showers and
storms in the forecast. As we move into the middle and latter
portion of the week, another shortwave trough is progged to sweep
across the Northern Plains driving a frontal boundary southward over
the area keeping a chance of storms in the forecast. Seasonably mild
temperatures are expected on Mon and especially Tue with below
normal temperatures anticipated as we move through the middle and
latter portion of the upcoming week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 625 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Gusty southwest winds are expected to develop over much of the
area today as a trough of low pressure settles over the area.
This trough may become a focus for afternoon and evening storms
possibly impacting KICT and KCNU late this afternoon into the
evening hours. Winds will gradually veer to the north/northeast
as a cold front arrives. The front may be slow to arrive in
southern KS while shifting winds during the day in parts of
central Kansas.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM