Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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103
FXUS63 KICT 222042
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
342 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 331 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Tonight-Monday:
Cold front will move through central KS before sunrise and across
the entire forecast area by midday. Temperatures will warm due to
mixing in central KS in the predawn hours behind the front.
Temperatures tomorrow will be close to those today at most
locations given lack of strong cold air advection. Winds will
likely flirt with advisory criteria in central KS during the day.

Monday night-Wednesday:
Northwest winds will keep temperatures at or above 40 so no frost
anticipated Monday night. Some potential however for Tuesday night
in Southeast KS where winds will be lighter with temperatures
around 37. Downslope flow should allow nice rebound in
temperatures across the western half on Wednesday. -Howerton


.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 331 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Next front moves through on Thursday with falling daytime
temperatures and winds again approaching advisory criteria. This
will bring the first real taste of fall to the area, dropping
highs to around 50 on Friday, with modest warmup through the
remainder of the forecast. Latest ECMWF/GFS have continued the
recent trend of a drier frontal passage and consensus was to drop
precipitation chances during this period. -Howerton

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

The only aviation hazard the next 24 hours will be strong and
gusty northwest winds spreading south across the region Monday
morning in wake of a cold frontal passage. Expect sustained
speeds 20-25 kts with gusts 30-35 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    46  70  45  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      46  69  43  62 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          46  69  43  60 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        45  69  44  61 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   45  70  44  62 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         47  68  41  62 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      47  68  41  63 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          47  69  44  62 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       46  69  43  61 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     44  70  45  62 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         44  69  44  61 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            43  69  44  60 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    43  70  44  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PJH
LONG TERM...PJH
AVIATION...ADK



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