Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 182324
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
624 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 311 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2016

In the upper levels, water vapor imagery shows one shortwave
tracking across western Quebec with another impulse rotating over
the Pacific NW. Meanwhile, ridging is in place over the Rockies
into the Plains. At the surface, weak lee troughing is in place
with a weak front extending across northern MO into southern
Nebraska.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2016

The main theme for the next few days will be for
the upper ridge to continue to build and expand over the Plains
through Fri. This will allow for plenty of sun and a warming
trend. Temps Tue look like the "coolest" through at least Fri
before the more serious heat starts Wed and continues through the
end of the work week. Should start to see more widespread highs at
or above 100 by Wed. The only good news is that we should start
to see afternoon dew points mix out for mid-late week which should
limit the 110+ heat indices. Due to the prolonged period of
100-105+ heat, will continue with heat headlines along and east
of I-135.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Monday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2016

Upper pattern will slowly start to flatten out starting Sat and
continue into the start of the work week. There is also some
model agreement in some shortwave energy sliding across the
northern Plains and into the western Great Lakes region by Sun
which may try and push a front into northern Kansas. In addition,
the more zonal flow will allow some of the weak impulses to track
over the area which may spark off a few storms. Confidence in
storm chances through these periods is extremely low as models
will have a hard time resolving these smaller scale features this
far out.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 620 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2016

VFR forecast at all sites throughout the period. Fair weather
cumulus should dissipate around sunset. Winds increase in the
morning with few cumulus redeveloping mainly at KCNU, with
KSLN/KICT likely on western fringe of few-scattered cloud deck.
-Howerton

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    74  96  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      74  97  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          75  95  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        75  95  75  98 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   75  95  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         74  98  75 102 /  10   0   0   0
Great Bend      74  98  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          76  99  76 102 /  10  10   0   0
McPherson       74  97  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     75  95  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         75  94  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            74  94  74  95 /  10   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    74  94  74  95 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for KSZ051-068-069-083-
092>096-098>100.

Excessive Heat Warning from noon Tuesday to 8 PM CDT Friday for
KSZ049-052-053-070>072.

Heat Advisory until noon CDT Tuesday for KSZ049-052-053-070>072.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...PJH


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.